Model: TIPPSH

Pocheon Citizen FC vs Daejeon Korail

PREDICTION

@ 2.24

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffLug 25, 2026 1:00 PM

ResultLOSS1 - 1

StartStarted 3h 28m ago

V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.04% · n=5438

V4 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.63% · n=470

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 5h 32m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Pocheon Citizen FC. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Pocheon Citizen FCGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

33/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds2.20First seen

Current2.24Now

Max odds2.25Highest point

Min odds2.16Lowest point

VolatilityMediumStable range

TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Pocheon Citizen FCHOME

Daejeon KorailAWAY

DLDWW

Recent form

DLLWW

Avg goals scored

1.60

1.20

Defensive weakness

1.00

0.80

Shots on target for

6.00

3.60

SoT conceded pressure

3.40

3.60

Home splitD-W-W-D-D1.60 scored / 0.80 conceded

Away splitD-L-W-D-L1.00 scored / 1.40 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.24. The V4 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.63% based on n=470 historical similar picks. The match belongs to South Korea K3 League (kr). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Medium volatility.

Pick1

Odd2.24

V2 BandLOWROI 1.04% · n=5438

V4 BandLOWROI 1.63% · n=470

Odds TrendRising

VolatilityMedium

AI Match Insight

The price and recent metrics both point to a relatively open contest. This selection carries a lower-confidence signal, so the risk profile remains elevated. Pocheon Citizen FC is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.

3D: 21.2% 7D: 31.5% 15D: 20.7% 30D: 25.7%

Model insight

Pocheon Citizen FC – Daejeon Korail Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.24. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show LOW confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 1.04% and 1.63%. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample286

Win Rate47.9%

Profit+11.73u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
LOSS	Inter Lions - Prospect United	2.00	1.31%
LOSS	Albirex Niigata - Montedio Yamagata	2.05	1.04%
WIN	Internacional (W) - Fluminense RJ (W)	1.99	1.04%
WIN	SD Atletico Nacional - San Francisco Reserves	1.99	1.04%
LOSS	FC Kufstein - FC Pinzgau	2.05	1.31%
LOSS	Eastern Lions - Box Hill United	2.48	1.59%
LOSS	Sacachispas U20 - El Porvenir U20	2.00	1.04%
WIN	Deportivo Cali (W) - America de Cali (W)	2.25	1.59%

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Pick

1 @ 2.24

Kickoff

Lug 25, 2026 1:00 PM

Confidence

CONF: LOW

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 1.04% • n=5438

Confidence V4

CONF V4: LOW

Exp. ROI V4

1.63% • n=470

Start

Started 3h 28m ago

Updated

Updated 5h 32m ago