Real Murcia vs Port Vale
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Real Murcia. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: Real MurciaGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: 0.020Value Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.31. The V4 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -0.70% based on n=209 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Europe Friendlies. Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.
AI Match Insight
The price and recent metrics both point to a relatively open contest. This selection carries a lower-confidence signal, so the risk profile remains elevated. Real Murcia is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.
Real Murcia – Port Vale Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | Pocheon Citizen FC - Daejeon Korail | 2.16 | 1.04% |
| LOSS | Eastern Lions - Box Hill United | 2.48 | 1.59% |
| WIN | Deportivo Cali (W) - America de Cali (W) | 2.25 | 1.59% |
| WIN | Vysocina Jihlava - Viktoria Zizkov | 2.06 | 1.04% |
| WIN | Zhejiang Hangzhou B (W) - Guangdong Yue Zhan (W) | 2.33 | 1.59% |
| LOSS | New York Red Bulls II - Crown Legacy | 2.09 | 1.04% |
| LOSS | FK Sloga Doboj - Ajman SCC | 2.20 | 1.04% |
| LOSS | RAAL La Louviere - Kifisias FC | 2.20 | 1.04% |
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| North Star - Logan Lightning | 1 | 2.55 | 1.59% | 23 May 09:00 |
| Santiago Wanderers - Union Espanola | 1 | 2.17 | 1.04% | 30 May 18:30 |
| Boca Juniors Reserves - River Plate Reserves | 1 | 2.40 | 1.59% | 05 Jul 19:00 |
| Liaoning Ironman - Qingdao West Coast | 1 | 2.16 | 1.04% | 25 Jul 13:35 |
| Polissya Zhytomyr II - UCSA | 1 | 2.29 | 1.59% | 25 Jul 15:00 |
| FK Volga Ulyanovsk - Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk | 1 | 2.09 | 1.31% | 25 Jul 15:00 |
| Barry Town - Gloucester | 1 | 2.40 | 1.59% | 25 Jul 16:00 |
| Birkirkara - Sliema Wanderers | 1 | 2.28 | 1.59% | 25 Jul 18:15 |