St Johnstone (W) – Livingston (W)

Model: TipTromba45H

St Johnstone (W) vs Livingston (W)

PREDICTION
1
@ 4.20
StatusUpcoming
KickoffLug 26, 2026 7:00 PM
ResultPending
StartStarts in 23h 1m
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.86% · n=258
V4 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.86% · n=258
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 2h 52m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is St Johnstone (W). This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: St Johnstone (W)Goal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Balanced

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

60/100
Good value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

St Johnstone (W)HOME
VS
Livingston (W)AWAY
WLLL
Recent form
WWDW
Avg goals scored
1.00
4.00
Defensive weakness
3.50
0.75
Shots on target for
8.00
N/A
SoT conceded pressure
6.00
N/A
Home splitW-L-L1.33 scored / 3.00 conceded
Away splitW-D-W3.67 scored / 1.00 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 4.20. The V4 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 4.86% based on n=258 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Scotland SWPL Cup Women (gb). Odds movement is currently classified as Stable with Low volatility.

Pick1
Odd4.20
V2 BandMEDIUMROI 4.86% · n=258
V4 BandMEDIUMROI 4.86% · n=258
Odds TrendStable
VolatilityLow

AI Match Insight

The current odds underline the speculative nature of the pick, particularly given the recent form imbalance. This sits in a middle confidence range, suggesting a balanced but not especially dominant setup.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.
3D: -2.8% 7D: 18.0% 15D: 17.3% 30D: 23.9%
Model insight

St Johnstone (W) – Livingston (W) Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 4.20. This prediction is generated by the TipTromba45H model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show MEDIUM confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 4.86% and 4.86%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. Odds history is still limited because this prediction has only recently appeared in the monitored bookmaker panel. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample44
Win Rate20.5%
Profit-7.14u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
LOSSCD Nueva Santa Cruz - Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz4.004.86%
LOSSBronshoj BK - Hellerup IK4.002.97%
LOSSBolton - Everton4.004.86%
WINFrem - Fremad Amager4.004.86%
LOSSHorsholm-Usserod IK - FC Roskilde4.004.86%
LOSSHanwell Town - Aldershot4.334.19%
LOSSTJ Tatran Bohunice - CSK Uhersky Brod4.004.86%
LOSSJyTy - MaPS4.102.97%
Active Similar Predictions
MatchPickOddExp. ROIKickoff
SK Stonava - Polanka14.004.86%25 Jul 17:00
Pick
1 @ 4.20
Kickoff
Lug 26, 2026 7:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 4.86% • n=258
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
4.86% • n=258
Start
Starts in 23h 1m
Updated
Updated 2h 52m ago
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