Model: TIPPSH

Alianza vs Deportes Tolima

PREDICTION

@ 2.81

StatusUpcoming

KickoffAgo 02, 2026 1:05 AM

ResultPending

StartStarts in 4d 14h

V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -2.37% · n=266

V4 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -2.37% · n=266

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 13m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Alianza. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: AlianzaGoal/Shots Index — H: -0.011 | A: 0.014

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

25/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds2.79First seen

Current2.81Now

Max odds2.81Highest point

Min odds2.79Lowest point

VolatilityLowStable range

TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

AlianzaHOME

Deportes TolimaAWAY

DWLWD

Recent form

WWDLL

Avg goals scored

1.40

1.00

Defensive weakness

0.80

1.60

Shots on target for

4.80

3.80

SoT conceded pressure

3.60

5.60

Home splitD-W-W-D-L1.60 scored / 1.00 conceded

Away splitD-L-L-W-L0.60 scored / 1.60 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.81. The V4 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -2.37% based on n=266 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Colombia Primera A (co). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Low volatility.

Pick1

Odd2.81

V2 BandNONEROI -2.37% · n=266

V4 BandNONEROI -2.37% · n=266

Odds TrendRising

VolatilityLow

AI Match Insight

The market prices Alianza as an outsider, but recent form does not suggest a gap wide enough to completely dismiss the selection. This selection carries a lower-confidence signal, so the risk profile remains elevated. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Alianza's attacking profile.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.

3D: -37.5% 7D: -2.1% 15D: 11.7% 30D: 15.7%

Model insight

Alianza – Deportes Tolima Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.81. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show NONE confidence, with historical expected ROI values of -2.37% and -2.37%. Historical performance for this profile has been negative or unstable, so this signal should be treated with additional caution. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample42

Win Rate31.0%

Profit-5.79u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
LOSS	Belshina Bobruisk - FC Minsk	2.96	-2.37%
WIN	Ironi Tiberias - Hapoel Bnei Sakhnin	2.82	-2.37%
WIN	Aguilas Doradas - Independiente Santa Fe	2.80	-2.37%
LOSS	South Melbourne - Preston Lions	2.96	-2.37%
LOSS	Kungsängens IF - Skiljebo SK	2.82	-2.37%
LOSS	Panama (W) - Jamaica (W)	2.80	-2.37%
WIN	Atlantis - HIFK 2	2.77	-2.37%
WIN	Anapolis FC - Paysandu	3.00	-2.37%

Active Similar Predictions

Match	Pick	Odd	Exp. ROI	Kickoff
Fram Reykjavik (W) - Valur Reykjavik (W)	1	2.96	-2.37%	29 Jul 21:15

Pick

1 @ 2.81

Kickoff

Ago 02, 2026 1:05 AM

Confidence

CONF: NONE

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI -2.37% • n=266

Confidence V4

CONF V4: NONE

Exp. ROI V4

-2.37% • n=266

Start

Starts in 4d 14h

Updated

Updated 13m ago