Model: TIPPSH

NK Nafta 1903 vs NS Mura

PREDICTION

@ 2.55

StatusUpcoming

KickoffAgo 01, 2026 8:00 PM

ResultPending

StartStarts in 4d 11h

V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.59% · n=2341

V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 13m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is NK Nafta 1903. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: NK Nafta 1903Goal/Shots Index — H: -0.060 | A: -0.045

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

36/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds2.60First seen

Current2.55Now

Max odds2.60Highest point

Min odds2.55Lowest point

VolatilityLowStable range

TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

NK Nafta 1903HOME

NS MuraAWAY

WLLLL

Recent form

WDLLL

Avg goals scored

0.80

1.20

Defensive weakness

2.40

2.80

Shots on target for

5.80

3.60

SoT conceded pressure

6.40

5.00

Home splitL-L-L-L-W0.40 scored / 2.40 conceded

Away splitD-L-L-L-W1.40 scored / 2.80 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.55. The V2 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.59% based on n=2341 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Slovenia Prva Liga (si). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with Low volatility.

Pick1

Odd2.55

V2 BandLOWROI 1.59% · n=2341

V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0

Odds TrendDropping

VolatilityLow

AI Match Insight

The current odds imply an underdog profile, although recent performances indicate a more competitive matchup. Confidence remains limited, so this should be read as a cautious lean rather than a strong prediction. NK Nafta 1903 is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.

3D: -35.4% 7D: -2.1% 15D: 11.7% 30D: 16.1%

Model insight

NK Nafta 1903 – NS Mura Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.55. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 1.59% across 2341 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample118

Win Rate36.4%

Profit-12.64u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
LOSS	SR Reykjavik - Skallagrimur Borgarnes	2.72	1.59%
LOSS	Fyllingsdalen - Åsane Fotball 2	2.48	1.59%
LOSS	SC Schwaz - SPG Wallern/ASV St. Marienkirchen	2.40	1.59%
WIN	Albirex Niigata - Montedio Yamagata	2.31	1.59%
LOSS	Houston Dynamo II - Austin FC II	2.47	1.59%
LOSS	Rangers de Talca - Deportes Copiapo	2.47	1.59%
LOSS	Real Murcia - Port Vale	2.31	1.59%
LOSS	Barry Town - Gloucester	2.40	1.59%

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Pick

1 @ 2.55

Kickoff

Ago 01, 2026 8:00 PM

Confidence

CONF: LOW

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 1.59% • n=2341

Start

Starts in 4d 11h

Updated

Updated 13m ago