Model: TIPPSH

Kispest Honved vs MTK Budapest

PREDICTION

@ 2.56

StatusUpcoming

KickoffAgo 01, 2026 9:30 PM

ResultPending

StartStarts in 3d 15h

V2 ConfidenceELITEExpected ROI 8.94% · n=311

V4 ConfidenceELITEExpected ROI 8.94% · n=311

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 7m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Kispest Honved. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Kispest HonvedGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.055 | A: 0.020

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

62/100

Good value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds2.54First seen

Current2.56Now

Max odds2.56Highest point

Min odds2.54Lowest point

VolatilityLowStable range

TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Kispest HonvedHOME

MTK BudapestAWAY

DLWW

Recent form

WDWLL

Avg goals scored

2.50

1.60

Defensive weakness

0.75

1.60

Shots on target for

7.25

3.20

SoT conceded pressure

2.25

4.60

Home splitW2.00 scored / 0.00 conceded

Away splitL-L-D-D-D1.40 scored / 2.40 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.56. The V4 confidence band is ELITE with an expected ROI of 8.94% based on n=311 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Hungary NB I (hu). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Low volatility.

Pick1

Odd2.56

V2 BandELITEROI 8.94% · n=311

V4 BandELITEROI 8.94% · n=311

Odds TrendRising

VolatilityLow

AI Match Insight

The market prices Kispest Honved as an outsider, but recent form does not suggest a gap wide enough to completely dismiss the selection. Comparable matches classified within the ELITE confidence range have historically generated positive model outcomes. Kispest Honved has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.

3D: -1.8% 7D: -5.5% 15D: 12.1% 30D: 15.2%

Model insight

Kispest Honved – MTK Budapest Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.56. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show ELITE confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 8.94% and 8.94%. Historical expected profitability for this profile has been well above average, although future outcomes remain sensitive to market and team-news conditions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample17

Win Rate47.1%

Profit+3.25u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
WIN	Valentine Phoenix - Charlestown Azzurri	2.46	8.94%
LOSS	ND Beltinci - Sharjah SCC	2.44	8.94%
LOSS	Servette - Basel	2.40	8.94%
LOSS	Bangor Celtic FC - College Corinthians FC	2.55	8.94%
WIN	Green Gully - Bentleigh Greens	2.39	8.94%
WIN	Heidelberg Utd U23 - Oakleigh Cannons U23	2.63	8.94%
WIN	Monterey Bay FC - El Paso Locomotive FC	2.51	8.94%
LOSS	Myanmar (W) - Uzbekistan (W)	2.45	11.02%

Active Similar Predictions

Match	Pick	Odd	Exp. ROI	Kickoff
FC Arges Pitesti - Petrolul Ploiesti	1	2.43	8.94%	24 Jul 20:30

Pick

1 @ 2.56

Kickoff

Ago 01, 2026 9:30 PM

Confidence

CONF: ELITE

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 8.94% • n=311

Confidence V4

CONF V4: ELITE

Exp. ROI V4

8.94% • n=311

Start

Starts in 3d 15h

Updated

Updated 7m ago