Aldosivi – Gimnasia LP

Model: TIPPSH

Aldosivi vs Gimnasia LP

PREDICTION
1
@ 3.03
StatusUpcoming
KickoffAgo 02, 2026 9:30 PM
ResultPending
StartStarts in 3d 18h
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.53% · n=669
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 8m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Aldosivi. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: AldosiviGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: 0.051

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

51/100
Good value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.80First seen
Current3.03Now
Max odds3.03Highest point
Min odds2.80Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

AldosiviHOME
VS
Gimnasia LPAWAY
LDW
Recent form
LLWWW
Avg goals scored
1.33
1.00
Defensive weakness
1.00
0.80
Shots on target for
2.33
3.60
SoT conceded pressure
4.00
4.60
Home splitN/AN/A scored / N/A conceded
Away splitL-L-W-W-W1.20 scored / 0.80 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 3.03. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 4.53% based on n=669 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Argentina Liga Profesional (ar). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick1
Odd3.03
V2 BandMEDIUMROI 4.53% · n=669
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The elevated odds reflect a naturally higher-risk profile, especially because recent form does not clearly favor Aldosivi. There is some statistical support behind the pick, but the historical signal is not strong enough to be aggressive.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.
3D: -28.0% 7D: -15.3% 15D: 6.2% 30D: 9.3%
Model insight

Aldosivi – Gimnasia LP Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 3.03. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM, with a historical expected ROI of 4.53% across 669 similar predictions. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. Moderate odds volatility indicates some market disagreement during the pre-match phase. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample27
Win Rate33.3%
Profit-0.56u
Historical Similar Predictions
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LOSSSligo Rovers - Drogheda United2.884.53%
LOSSStal Rzeszow - Chrobry Glogow2.804.53%
WINWestern City Rangers - Newcastle Jets NPL3.022.04%
WINJK Trans Narva - Parnu JK Vaprus3.002.04%
LOSSSuwon FC - Seoul E-Land FC2.894.53%
LOSSFH Hafnarfjordur - Breidablik3.054.53%
WINSeongnam FC - Busan I Park3.014.53%
Active Similar Predictions
MatchPickOddExp. ROIKickoff
Central Espanol Reserves - Liverpool Montevideo Reserves13.094.53%21 Jul 19:00
Gimnasia Mendoza - Union Santa Fe13.002.04%01 Aug 20:30
Pick
1 @ 3.03
Kickoff
Ago 02, 2026 9:30 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 4.53% • n=669
Start
Starts in 3d 18h
Updated
Updated 8m ago
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