JK Trans Narva – Parnu JK Vaprus

Model: TIPPSH

JK Trans Narva vs Parnu JK Vaprus

PREDICTION
1
@ 3.02
StatusUpcoming
KickoffLug 18, 2026 6:00 PM
ResultPending
StartStarts in 1d 6h
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 2.04% · n=113
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 8m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is JK Trans Narva. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: JK Trans Narva

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Balanced

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

42/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.43First seen
Current3.02Now
Max odds3.04Highest point
Min odds2.43Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

JK Trans NarvaHOME
VS
Parnu JK VaprusAWAY
LLLDL
Recent form
WLWLD
Avg goals scored
0.40
1.60
Defensive weakness
1.80
1.20
Shots on target for
3.00
4.80
SoT conceded pressure
3.40
6.80
Home splitL-L-W-W-L2.60 scored / 1.60 conceded
Away splitL-D-W-L-W1.00 scored / 1.40 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 3.02. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 2.04% based on n=113 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Estonia Meistriliiga (ee). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick1
Odd3.02
V2 BandMEDIUMROI 2.04% · n=113
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

Recent performances only partially support the selection, which helps explain the higher market price. This sits in a middle confidence range, suggesting a balanced but not especially dominant setup.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.
3D: -1.9% 7D: -1.9% 15D: 7.3% 30D: 15.5%
Model insight

JK Trans Narva – Parnu JK Vaprus Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 3.02. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM, with a historical expected ROI of 2.04% across 113 similar predictions. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample21
Win Rate33.3%
Profit-0.82u
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LOSSDegerfors - Malmo FF3.202.04%
LOSSFK Dziugas Telsiai - FK Zalgiris Vilnius3.232.04%
WINDelaware FC - Real Central NJ2.804.53%
LOSSFC Struga Trim & Lum - FC Dinamo City2.994.53%
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Pick
1 @ 3.02
Kickoff
Lug 18, 2026 6:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 2.04% • n=113
Start
Starts in 1d 6h
Updated
Updated 8m ago
Torna in alto