Model: TIPPSH

Solihull Moors vs Northampton

PREDICTION

@ 3.90

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffAgo 01, 2026 4:00 PM

ResultLOSS2 - 4

StartStarted 1d 1h ago

V2 ConfidenceHIGHExpected ROI 5.56% · n=52

V4 ConfidenceHIGHExpected ROI 5.56% · n=52

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 1d 3h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Solihull Moors. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Solihull MoorsGoal/Shots Index — H: -0.028 | A: 0.121

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

61/100

Good value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds4.50First seen

Current4.03Now

Max odds4.50Highest point

Min odds4.03Lowest point

VolatilityHighStable range

TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Solihull MoorsHOME

NorthamptonAWAY

LDWWL

Recent form

WDLWD

Avg goals scored

1.60

1.40

Defensive weakness

1.80

1.00

Shots on target for

3.60

3.00

SoT conceded pressure

4.40

4.00

Home splitL-D-L-L-W1.40 scored / 2.40 conceded

Away splitW-D-W-L-L1.60 scored / 2.20 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 3.90. The V4 confidence band is HIGH with an expected ROI of 5.56% based on n=52 historical similar picks. The match belongs to UK Friendlies (gb). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with High volatility.

Pick1

Odd3.90

V2 BandHIGHROI 5.56% · n=52

V4 BandHIGHROI 5.56% · n=52

Odds TrendDropping

VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The current odds imply an underdog profile, although recent performances indicate a more competitive matchup. Comparable matches classified within the HIGH confidence range have historically generated positive model outcomes.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.

3D: -14.1% 7D: -11.1% 15D: 6.4% 30D: 7.7%

Model insight

Solihull Moors – Northampton Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 3.90. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show HIGH confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 5.56% and 5.56%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The prediction received strong market support after the first appearance. Early prices historically produced the best long-term performance for this model profile. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample6

Win Rate16.7%

Profit-2.18u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
LOSS	FK Bumprom - FK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk	3.94	5.87%
LOSS	Guangxi Hengchen - Shandong Taishan	4.11	5.87%
LOSS	Lyn 1896 U19 - Molde U19	3.90	5.87%
WIN	HUSA Agadir - RSB Berkane	3.82	5.87%
LOSS	El Salvador (W) - Costa Rica (W)	3.70	7.69%
LOSS	Club 9 de Octubre - Manta FC	3.70	7.69%

Pick

1 @ 3.90

Kickoff

Ago 01, 2026 4:00 PM

Confidence

CONF: HIGH

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 5.56% • n=52

Confidence V4

CONF V4: HIGH

Exp. ROI V4

5.56% • n=52

Start

Started 1d 1h ago

Updated

Updated 1d 3h ago