Model: TIPPSA

Al Nejmeh vs Al Ansar Beirut

PREDICTION

@ 2.34

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffAgo 02, 2026 9:45 PM

ResultWIN1 - 2

StartStarted 22h 24m ago

V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 0.84% · n=717

V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 1d ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Al Ansar Beirut. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Al Ansar BeirutGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.138 | A: -0.035

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Away edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Away edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

32/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds2.30First seen

Current2.34Now

Max odds2.37Highest point

Min odds2.30Lowest point

VolatilityMediumStable range

TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Al NejmehHOME

Al Ansar BeirutAWAY

LWWDW

Recent form

WWDDW

Avg goals scored

1.60

Defensive weakness

1.00

0.80

Shots on target for

2.80

6.40

SoT conceded pressure

2.00

3.20

Home splitL-W-W-W-W2.40 scored / 0.80 conceded

Away splitW-W-D-W-W3.00 scored / 0.60 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 2.34. The V2 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 0.84% based on n=717 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Lebanon League (lb). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Medium volatility.

Pick2

Odd2.34

V2 BandLOWROI 0.84% · n=717

V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0

Odds TrendRising

VolatilityMedium

AI Match Insight

The matchup looks relatively balanced, so the value of the pick depends more on the model profile than on a clear form advantage. This selection carries a lower-confidence signal, so the risk profile remains elevated. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Al Ansar Beirut's attacking profile.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.

3D: -7.0% 7D: -8.3% 15D: 5.4% 30D: 7.1%

Model insight

Al Nejmeh – Al Ansar Beirut Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.34. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 0.84% across 717 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample95

Win Rate41.1%

Profit-5.45u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
LOSS	Wexford FC - Bray Wanderers	2.28	0.84%
LOSS	Estrela - Al-Nassr Riyadh	2.23	1.21%
LOSS	FK Ekranas - FK Zalgiris Vilnius II	2.37	0.84%
LOSS	Carina Gubin - Miedz Legnica II	2.19	1.21%
WIN	Sandviken - Kvik Halden FK	2.33	0.84%
WIN	Coritiba - Cruzeiro	2.34	0.84%
LOSS	Hradec Kralove - Tromso	2.11	1.21%
WIN	Yeoju - Dangjin Citizen FC	2.49	0.84%

Pick

2 @ 2.34

Kickoff

Ago 02, 2026 9:45 PM

Confidence

CONF: LOW

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 0.84% • n=717

Start

Started 22h 24m ago

Updated

Updated 1d ago