Yeoju – Dangjin Citizen FC

Model: TIPPSA

Yeoju vs Dangjin Citizen FC

PREDICTION
2
@ 2.41
StatusUpcoming
KickoffLug 29, 2026 2:00 PM
ResultPending
StartStarts in 3h 58m
V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 0.84% · n=717
V4 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -2.09% · n=286
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 15m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Dangjin Citizen FC. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Dangjin Citizen FCGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.123 | A: 0.142

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Away edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Away edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

22/100
Poor value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.40First seen
Current2.55Now
Max odds2.63Highest point
Min odds2.40Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

YeojuHOME
VS
Dangjin Citizen FCAWAY
DWLWD
Recent form
WWWDW
Avg goals scored
1.40
2.60
Defensive weakness
1.00
0.40
Shots on target for
2.40
6.60
SoT conceded pressure
5.20
5.00
Home splitL-L-W-D-D1.00 scored / 1.40 conceded
Away splitW-W-L-L-D1.40 scored / 1.00 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 2.41. The V4 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -2.09% based on n=286 historical similar picks. The match belongs to South Korea Cup (kr). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick2
Odd2.41
V2 BandLOWROI 0.84% · n=717
V4 BandNONEROI -2.09% · n=286
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

Although the odds are relatively high, Dangjin Citizen FC shows enough recent performance support to make the pick interesting from a risk/reward perspective. Confidence remains limited, so this should be read as a cautious lean rather than a strong prediction. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Dangjin Citizen FC's attacking profile.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.
3D: 4.7% 7D: -3.2% 15D: 12.8% 30D: 15.2%
Model insight

Yeoju – Dangjin Citizen FC Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.41. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 0.84% across 717 similar predictions. The V4 confidence band is NONE, with a historical expected ROI of -2.09% across 286 historical samples. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. Moderate odds volatility indicates some market disagreement during the pre-match phase. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample70
Win Rate38.6%
Profit-6.20u
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LOSSWaldhof Mannheim - FC Liefering2.510.84%
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LOSSMontevideo Wanderers Reserves - Penarol Reserves2.590.84%
Pick
2 @ 2.41
Kickoff
Lug 29, 2026 2:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: LOW
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 0.84% • n=717
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
-2.09% • n=286
Start
Starts in 3h 58m
Updated
Updated 15m ago
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