Model: TipA1

Oriente Petrolero vs Nacional Potosi

PREDICTION

@ 3.50

StatusUpcoming

KickoffAgo 03, 2026 3:30 AM

ResultPending

StartStarts in 1d 9h

V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -3.74% · n=189

V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 5m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Nacional Potosi. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Nacional PotosiGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.044 | A: 0.062

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Away edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Away edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

26/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds3.54First seen

Current3.72Now

Max odds3.76Highest point

Min odds3.54Lowest point

VolatilityMediumStable range

TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Oriente PetroleroHOME

Nacional PotosiAWAY

WDLLD

Recent form

WLDWL

Avg goals scored

1.40

1.80

Defensive weakness

1.60

Shots on target for

4.60

5.40

SoT conceded pressure

5.20

3.60

Home splitL-D-W-W-W1.80 scored / 1.00 conceded

Away splitD-L-D-L-L1.00 scored / 1.80 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 3.50. The V2 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -3.74% based on n=189 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Bolivia Primera Division (bo). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Medium volatility.

Pick2

Odd3.50

V2 BandNONEROI -3.74% · n=189

V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0

Odds TrendRising

VolatilityMedium

AI Match Insight

The market offers a relatively high price, but recent statistical trends still provide meaningful support for Nacional Potosi. Confidence remains limited, so this should be read as a cautious lean rather than a strong prediction.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.

3D: 38.4% 7D: -0.8% 15D: 10.8% 30D: 8.7%

Model insight

Oriente Petrolero – Nacional Potosi Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 3.50. This prediction is generated by the TipA1 model profile. The V2 confidence band is NONE, with a historical expected ROI of -3.74% across 189 similar predictions. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. Moderate odds volatility indicates some market disagreement during the pre-match phase. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample34

Win Rate14.7%

Profit-16.55u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
LOSS	Hapoel Petah Tikva - Maccabi Petah Tikva	3.40	-0.53%
LOSS	Remo - Vitoria	3.30	-0.53%
LOSS	Tuggeranong Utd - Belconnen United	3.50	-3.74%
LOSS	RKC Third Coast - Chicago Dutch Lions	3.30	-3.74%
LOSS	Breidablik/Augnablik U19 - HK/Ymir Kopavogur U19	3.60	-3.74%
LOSS	SJK Akatemia II - FC Vaajakoski	3.60	-0.53%
LOSS	Sol de America de Formosa - San Martin Formosa	3.50	-3.74%
WIN	Stade Marocain Du Rabat - Widad Temara	3.50	-3.74%

Pick

2 @ 3.50

Kickoff

Ago 03, 2026 3:30 AM

Confidence

CONF: NONE

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI -3.74% • n=189

Start

Starts in 1d 9h

Updated

Updated 5m ago