Livingston (W) – Motherwell (W)

Model: TipTromba12H

Livingston (W) vs Motherwell (W)

PREDICTION
1
@ 11.00
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffAgo 02, 2026 7:00 PM
ResultLOSS1 - 7
StartStarted 1d ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.75% · n=44
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 1d 23h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Livingston (W). This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Livingston (W)Goal/Shots Index — H: — | A: -0.019

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Away edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Away edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

64/100
Good value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds6.51First seen
Current11.00Now
Max odds11.00Highest point
Min odds6.51Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Livingston (W)HOME
VS
Motherwell (W)AWAY
LWWWD
Recent form
WLDWW
Avg goals scored
3.00
3.00
Defensive weakness
2.00
1.40
Shots on target for
3.50
8.80
SoT conceded pressure
13.50
3.80
Home splitL-W3.00 scored / 3.50 conceded
Away splitW-W-W4.00 scored / 0.67 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 11.00. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 4.75% based on n=44 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Scotland SWPL Cup Women (gb). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick1
Odd11.00
V2 BandMEDIUMROI 4.75% · n=44
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The market prices Livingston (W) as an outsider, but recent form does not suggest a gap wide enough to completely dismiss the selection. This sits in a middle confidence range, suggesting a balanced but not especially dominant setup.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.
3D: 29.2% 7D: 9.3% 15D: 12.7% 30D: 8.5%
Model insight

Livingston (W) – Motherwell (W) Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 11.00. This prediction is generated by the TipTromba12H model profile. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM, with a historical expected ROI of 4.75% across 44 similar predictions. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The available sample size is still relatively limited, which may increase performance variability. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample7
Win Rate0.0%
Profit-7.00u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
LOSSKarlsruher SC - Inter Milan11.004.75%
LOSSSlaven Belupo - Shakhtar Donetsk11.004.75%
LOSSStirling - Dundee Utd11.004.75%
LOSSLansing City Football - Midwest United11.004.75%
LOSSCanberra Croatia FC (W) - Belconnen United (W)11.004.75%
LOSSGlenorchy Knights Reserves - Taroona11.004.75%
Pick
1 @ 11.00
Kickoff
Ago 02, 2026 7:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 4.75% • n=44
Start
Started 1d ago
Updated
Updated 1d 23h ago
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