Model: TipA1

Social FC MG U20 vs Betim FC U20

PREDICTION

@ 2.55

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffAgo 02, 2026 4:00 PM

ResultLOSS1 - 1

StartStarted 1h ago

V2 ConfidenceHIGHExpected ROI 6.67% · n=25

V4 ConfidenceHIGHExpected ROI 6.67% · n=25

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 12h 38m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Betim FC U20. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Betim FC U20Goal/Shots Index — H: 0.064 | A: -0.052

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Away edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Away edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

54/100

Good value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds2.60First seen

Current2.55Now

Max odds2.60Highest point

Min odds2.55Lowest point

VolatilityLowStable range

TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Social FC MG U20HOME

Betim FC U20AWAY

DLWWL

Recent form

DLWWW

Avg goals scored

1.20

1.60

Defensive weakness

1.00

1.20

Shots on target for

3.00

5.40

SoT conceded pressure

7.40

3.80

Home splitD-W-W-L-L1.40 scored / 1.00 conceded

Away splitD-L-W-D-D1.20 scored / 1.40 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 2.55. The V4 confidence band is HIGH with an expected ROI of 6.67% based on n=25 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Brazil Campeonato Mineiro U20 (br). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with Low volatility.

Pick2

Odd2.55

V2 BandHIGHROI 6.67% · n=25

V4 BandHIGHROI 6.67% · n=25

Odds TrendDropping

VolatilityLow

AI Match Insight

While the odds remain elevated, the underlying metrics suggest the selection may be more competitive than the market implies. The selection falls within a stronger historical confidence range, which makes the higher price more interesting. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Betim FC U20's attacking profile.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.

3D: 36.0% 7D: 10.6% 15D: 13.4% 30D: 8.8%

Model insight

Social FC MG U20 – Betim FC U20 Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.55. This prediction is generated by the TipA1 model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show HIGH confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 6.67% and 6.67%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The available sample size is still relatively limited, which may increase performance variability. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample94

Win Rate37.2%

Profit-2.74u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
WIN	Wynnum Wolves U23 - Brisbane City U23	2.50	6.36%
LOSS	SR Fach-Donaufeld - SV Horn	2.55	6.36%
LOSS	Alianza FC - Antigua GFC	2.75	5.52%
LOSS	Trinec - Vysocina Jihlava	2.45	6.36%
LOSS	Mohammedan SC - Baghpat FC	2.35	6.36%
LOSS	Go Ahead Eagles - OFI Crete	2.80	5.52%
LOSS	Hiska Nacional - Chaco Petrolero	2.30	6.36%
LOSS	Taubate (W) - Sport Recife (W)	2.70	6.36%

Active Similar Predictions

Match	Pick	Odd	Exp. ROI	Kickoff
Csakvari TK - FC Nagykanizsa	2	2.60	6.36%	02 Aug 17:00
Central Cordoba - San Lorenzo	2	2.80	5.52%	04 Aug 02:15
Remo - Santos	2	2.40	6.36%	05 Aug 02:30

Pick

2 @ 2.55

Kickoff

Ago 02, 2026 4:00 PM

Confidence

CONF: HIGH

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 6.67% • n=25

Confidence V4

CONF V4: HIGH

Exp. ROI V4

6.67% • n=25

Start

Started 1h ago

Updated

Updated 12h 38m ago