Minnesota United vs Juarez FC
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Minnesota United. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: Minnesota UnitedGoal/Shots Index — H: -0.039 | A: -0.063Value Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.70. The V2 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -3.38% based on n=1115 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Leagues Cup (us). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with Low volatility.
AI Match Insight
The odds suggest a clear favorite, although the recent form gap is not as dominant as the price might imply. If considered, this pick should be approached with caution due to the limited historical confidence. Minnesota United is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.
Minnesota United – Juarez FC Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | Cerro Porteno Reserves - Sportivo Luqueno Reserves | 1.62 | -3.82% |
| LOSS | Itaquaquecetuba U23 - America SP U23 | 1.67 | -3.38% |
| WIN | Penarol (W) - Defensor Sporting (W) | 1.60 | -1.89% |
| LOSS | Real Potosi - GV San Jose | 1.50 | -1.89% |
| WIN | AD Sarchi - AD Cofutpa | 1.57 | -3.82% |
| LOSS | Mighty Wanderers - Blue Eagles | 1.73 | -1.89% |
| WIN | Shanghai Port U20 - Henan U20 | 1.73 | -3.38% |
| LOSS | Athletic Bilbao (W) - Deportivo La Coruna (W) | 1.70 | -3.82% |
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FK Zeleznicar Pancevo - Mladost Lucani | 1 | 1.60 | -3.38% | 01 Aug 18:00 |
| Viimsi JK - JK Tallinna Kalev | 1 | 1.67 | -1.89% | 03 Aug 18:00 |
| Brodd - Stabaek 2 | 1 | 1.70 | -1.89% | 03 Aug 18:00 |
| Toluca - Seattle Sounders | 1 | 1.73 | -1.89% | 06 Aug 04:00 |