Model: TipTromba2H

Portland Timbers vs Puebla

PREDICTION

@ 1.80

StatusUpcoming

KickoffAgo 07, 2026 6:30 AM

ResultPending

StartStarts in 3d 6h

V2 ConfidenceHIGHExpected ROI 6.17% · n=215

V4 ConfidenceHIGHExpected ROI 6.17% · n=215

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 8h 4m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Portland Timbers. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Portland TimbersGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.051 | A: 0.042

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

44/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds1.85First seen

Current1.82Now

Max odds1.85Highest point

Min odds1.82Lowest point

VolatilityLowStable range

TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Portland TimbersHOME

PueblaAWAY

WWDWL

Recent form

DLWLL

Avg goals scored

2.40

1.00

Defensive weakness

1.60

1.40

Shots on target for

6.60

3.20

SoT conceded pressure

4.60

5.60

Home splitW-W-D-L-W2.60 scored / 1.40 conceded

Away splitL-W-L-L0.75 scored / 2.25 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.80. The V4 confidence band is HIGH with an expected ROI of 6.17% based on n=215 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Leagues Cup (us). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with Low volatility.

Pick1

Odd1.80

V2 BandHIGHROI 6.17% · n=215

V4 BandHIGHROI 6.17% · n=215

Odds TrendDropping

VolatilityLow

AI Match Insight

The price is not extreme, and recent results provide a reasonable statistical basis for the pick. The confidence band strengthens the case for the pick beyond the basic market price. Portland Timbers is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.

3D: 40.7% 7D: 16.7% 15D: 8.0% 30D: 11.0%

Model insight

Portland Timbers – Puebla Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.80. This prediction is generated by the TipTromba2H model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show HIGH confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 6.17% and 6.17%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample236

Win Rate56.8%

Profit+7.59u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
WIN	Cliftonville (W) - Glentoran (W)	1.80	6.17%
WIN	Wigry Suwalki - LKS Lodz II	1.75	6.89%
LOSS	ABC U20 - Quinho FC U20	1.83	6.89%
WIN	Always Ready - Bolivar	1.90	7.35%
WIN	Gimnasia y Esgrima - Tucuman Central	1.95	6.89%
LOSS	Santos Laguna U19 (W) - Necaxa U19 (W)	1.75	6.89%
LOSS	Nacional de Muriae U20 - Boston City FC U20	1.80	6.89%
WIN	Libertad Asuncion Reserves - Deportivo Recoleta Reserves	1.75	7.35%

Active Similar Predictions

Match	Pick	Odd	Exp. ROI	Kickoff
Shamrock Rovers - FK Egnatia	1	1.80	7.35%	04 Aug 21:00

Pick

1 @ 1.80

Kickoff

Ago 07, 2026 6:30 AM

Confidence

CONF: HIGH

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 6.17% • n=215

Confidence V4

CONF V4: HIGH

Exp. ROI V4

6.17% • n=215

Start

Starts in 3d 6h

Updated

Updated 8h 4m ago