Hapoel Kfar Shalem – Ironi Modiin

Model: TIPPSH

Hapoel Kfar Shalem vs Ironi Modiin

PREDICTION
1
@ 1.71
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffAgo 03, 2026 9:00 PM
ResultLOSS1 - 1
StartStarted 1d 1h ago
V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -4.66% · n=356
V4 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -4.66% · n=356
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 1d 3h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Hapoel Kfar Shalem. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Hapoel Kfar ShalemGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.009 | A: 0.065

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

4/100
Poor value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds1.62First seen
Current1.71Now
Max odds1.71Highest point
Min odds1.62Lowest point
VolatilityMediumStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Hapoel Kfar ShalemHOME
VS
Ironi ModiinAWAY
DLWWL
Recent form
DLWLW
Avg goals scored
2.20
1.40
Defensive weakness
1.60
1.40
Shots on target for
7.60
4.80
SoT conceded pressure
5.60
6.00
Home splitD-W-L-L-L1.20 scored / 2.20 conceded
Away splitD-L-W-L-W1.40 scored / 1.40 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.71. The V4 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -4.66% based on n=356 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Israel League Cup (il). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Medium volatility.

Pick1
Odd1.71
V2 BandNONEROI -4.66% · n=356
V4 BandNONEROI -4.66% · n=356
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityMedium

AI Match Insight

The odds suggest a clear favorite, although the recent form gap is not as dominant as the price might imply. Confidence remains limited, so this should be read as a cautious lean rather than a strong prediction. Hapoel Kfar Shalem is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.
3D: 40.7% 7D: 16.7% 15D: 8.0% 30D: 11.0%
Model insight

Hapoel Kfar Shalem – Ironi Modiin Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.71. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show NONE confidence, with historical expected ROI values of -4.66% and -4.66%. Historical performance for this profile has been negative or unstable, so this signal should be treated with additional caution. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. Moderate odds volatility indicates some market disagreement during the pre-match phase. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample292
Win Rate59.2%
Profit-1.17u
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WINQviding FIF - BK Astrio1.62-10.11%
WINDeportivo Santaní - Encarnacion FC1.70-7.35%
WINLegia Warsaw - Zaglebie Lubin1.62-7.35%
WINBocas - Veraguas United Reserves1.63-10.11%
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Pick
1 @ 1.71
Kickoff
Ago 03, 2026 9:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: NONE
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI -4.66% • n=356
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
-4.66% • n=356
Start
Started 1d 1h ago
Updated
Updated 1d 3h ago
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