NK Maribor – FC Koper

Model: TipA1

NK Maribor vs FC Koper

PREDICTION
2
@ 3.50
StatusUpcoming
KickoffAgo 08, 2026 8:00 PM
ResultPending
StartStarts in 4d 16h
V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -3.74% · n=189
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 11m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is FC Koper. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: FC KoperGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.061 | A: -0.126

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Away edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Away edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

26/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds3.00First seen
Current3.50Now
Max odds3.50Highest point
Min odds3.00Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

NK MariborHOME
VS
FC KoperAWAY
DWDDD
Recent form
DLDWW
Avg goals scored
1.20
1.60
Defensive weakness
0.60
1.20
Shots on target for
4.60
5.20
SoT conceded pressure
2.80
3.40
Home splitW-D-D-D-W2.20 scored / 1.00 conceded
Away splitD-W-W-W-L2.00 scored / 1.20 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 3.50. The V2 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -3.74% based on n=189 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Slovenia Prva Liga (si). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick2
Odd3.50
V2 BandNONEROI -3.74% · n=189
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

From a statistical perspective, the difference between the two teams may be smaller than the current price indicates. If considered, this pick should be approached with caution due to the limited historical confidence.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.
3D: 40.7% 7D: 15.7% 15D: 5.5% 30D: 11.4%
Model insight

NK Maribor – FC Koper Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 3.50. This prediction is generated by the TipA1 model profile. The V2 confidence band is NONE, with a historical expected ROI of -3.74% across 189 similar predictions. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample35
Win Rate14.3%
Profit-17.55u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
LOSSOriente Petrolero - Nacional Potosi3.50-3.74%
LOSSHapoel Petah Tikva - Maccabi Petah Tikva3.40-0.53%
LOSSRemo - Vitoria3.30-0.53%
LOSSTuggeranong Utd - Belconnen United3.50-3.74%
LOSSRKC Third Coast - Chicago Dutch Lions3.30-3.74%
LOSSBreidablik/Augnablik U19 - HK/Ymir Kopavogur U193.60-3.74%
LOSSSJK Akatemia II - FC Vaajakoski3.60-0.53%
LOSSSol de America de Formosa - San Martin Formosa3.50-3.74%
Active Similar Predictions
MatchPickOddExp. ROIKickoff
Union Santa Fe - Lanus23.60-3.74%07 Aug 00:00
Pick
2 @ 3.50
Kickoff
Ago 08, 2026 8:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: NONE
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI -3.74% • n=189
Start
Starts in 4d 16h
Updated
Updated 11m ago
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