Oriente Petrolero – Nacional Potosi

Model: TipA1

Oriente Petrolero vs Nacional Potosi

PREDICTION
2
@ 3.50
StatusUpcoming
KickoffAgo 03, 2026 3:30 AM
ResultPending
StartStarts in 1d 10h
V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -3.74% · n=189
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 13m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Nacional Potosi. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Nacional PotosiGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.044 | A: 0.062

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Away edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Away edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

26/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds3.54First seen
Current3.76Now
Max odds3.76Highest point
Min odds3.54Lowest point
VolatilityMediumStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Oriente PetroleroHOME
VS
Nacional PotosiAWAY
WDLLD
Recent form
WLDWL
Avg goals scored
1.40
1.80
Defensive weakness
1.60
1.60
Shots on target for
4.60
5.40
SoT conceded pressure
5.20
3.60
Home splitL-D-W-W-W1.80 scored / 1.00 conceded
Away splitD-L-D-L-L1.00 scored / 1.80 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 3.50. The V2 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -3.74% based on n=189 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Bolivia Primera Division (bo). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Medium volatility.

Pick2
Odd3.50
V2 BandNONEROI -3.74% · n=189
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityMedium

AI Match Insight

Although the odds are relatively high, Nacional Potosi shows enough recent performance support to make the pick interesting from a risk/reward perspective. The model does not assign a strong confidence profile here, making the pick more speculative.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.
3D: 38.4% 7D: -0.8% 15D: 10.8% 30D: 8.7%
Model insight

Oriente Petrolero – Nacional Potosi Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 3.50. This prediction is generated by the TipA1 model profile. The V2 confidence band is NONE, with a historical expected ROI of -3.74% across 189 similar predictions. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. Moderate odds volatility indicates some market disagreement during the pre-match phase. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample34
Win Rate14.7%
Profit-16.55u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
LOSSHapoel Petah Tikva - Maccabi Petah Tikva3.40-0.53%
LOSSRemo - Vitoria3.30-0.53%
LOSSTuggeranong Utd - Belconnen United3.50-3.74%
LOSSRKC Third Coast - Chicago Dutch Lions3.30-3.74%
LOSSBreidablik/Augnablik U19 - HK/Ymir Kopavogur U193.60-3.74%
LOSSSJK Akatemia II - FC Vaajakoski3.60-0.53%
LOSSSol de America de Formosa - San Martin Formosa3.50-3.74%
WINStade Marocain Du Rabat - Widad Temara3.50-3.74%
Pick
2 @ 3.50
Kickoff
Ago 03, 2026 3:30 AM
Confidence
CONF: NONE
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI -3.74% • n=189
Start
Starts in 1d 10h
Updated
Updated 13m ago
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