Gimnastica Segoviana – Valladolid

Model: TipTromba5H

Gimnastica Segoviana vs Valladolid

PREDICTION
1
@ 4.75
StatusUpcoming
KickoffAgo 05, 2026 9:00 PM
ResultPending
StartStarts in 21h 38m
V2 ConfidenceHIGHExpected ROI 7.69% · n=45
V4 ConfidenceHIGHExpected ROI 7.69% · n=45
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 11m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Gimnastica Segoviana. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Gimnastica SegovianaGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: 0.130

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

73/100
Good value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds4.75First seen
Current5.39Now
Max odds5.39Highest point
Min odds4.75Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Gimnastica SegovianaHOME
VS
ValladolidAWAY
LWLLL
Recent form
LWDLL
Avg goals scored
0.60
0.80
Defensive weakness
1.40
1.00
Shots on target for
4.40
1.80
SoT conceded pressure
5.20
4.20
Home splitW-L0.50 scored / 0.50 conceded
Away splitL-L-L-L-L0.40 scored / 1.80 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 4.75. The V4 confidence band is HIGH with an expected ROI of 7.69% based on n=45 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Europe Friendlies. Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick1
Odd4.75
V2 BandHIGHROI 7.69% · n=45
V4 BandHIGHROI 7.69% · n=45
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

From a statistical perspective, the difference between the two teams may be smaller than the current price indicates. The HIGH confidence band is important here: similar higher-priced setups have historically produced positive model results. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Gimnastica Segoviana's attacking profile.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.
3D: 80.0% 7D: 30.3% 15D: 9.5% 30D: 13.9%
Model insight

Gimnastica Segoviana – Valladolid Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 4.75. This prediction is generated by the TipTromba5H model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show HIGH confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 7.69% and 7.69%. Historical expected profitability for this profile has been well above average, although future outcomes remain sensitive to market and team-news conditions. The available sample size is still relatively limited, which may increase performance variability. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample33
Win Rate27.3%
Profit+8.00u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
LOSSTJ Dvorniky - Vcelare - Spartak Medzev4.506.25%
WINFK Klasterec nad Ohri - FK Ostrov4.506.25%
LOSSSolihull Moors - Northampton4.507.29%
LOSSRoyale Union Hutoise - RFC Meux4.507.29%
WINMarino de Luanco - Real Aviles CF4.506.25%
LOSSShrewsbury - West Brom4.757.69%
WINAveley - Braintree Town4.506.25%
LOSSFulgencio Yegros - 24 de Setiembre4.757.69%
Active Similar Predictions
MatchPickOddExp. ROIKickoff
Burkina Faso (W) - South Africa (W)14.506.25%04 Aug 22:00
Pick
1 @ 4.75
Kickoff
Ago 05, 2026 9:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: HIGH
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 7.69% • n=45
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
7.69% • n=45
Start
Starts in 21h 38m
Updated
Updated 11m ago
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