Fulgencio Yegros – 24 de Setiembre

Model: TIPPSH

Fulgencio Yegros vs 24 de Setiembre

PREDICTION
1
@ 3.90
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffLug 16, 2026 10:30 PM
ResultLOSS2 - 2
StartStarted 47d 10h ago
V2 ConfidenceHIGHExpected ROI 5.87% · n=129
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 47d 12h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Fulgencio Yegros. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Fulgencio YegrosGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

62/100
Good value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds4.80First seen
Current4.23Now
Max odds5.13Highest point
Min odds4.23Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Fulgencio YegrosHOME
VS
24 de SetiembreAWAY
DDWW
Recent form
DDLDL
Avg goals scored
1.50
1.40
Defensive weakness
1.00
2.00
Shots on target for
3.00
4.80
SoT conceded pressure
2.75
6.20
Home splitD-W-W2.00 scored / 1.33 conceded
Away splitD-D-L-W-L1.80 scored / 1.60 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 3.90. The V2 confidence band is HIGH with an expected ROI of 5.87% based on n=129 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Paraguay Cup (py). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with High volatility.

Pick1
Odd3.90
V2 BandHIGHROI 5.87% · n=129
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendDropping
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The market offers a relatively high price, but recent statistical trends still provide meaningful support for Fulgencio Yegros. Comparable matches classified within the HIGH confidence range have historically generated positive model outcomes.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.
3D: -7.4% 7D: 0.0% 15D: 11.4% 30D: 15.1%
Model insight

Fulgencio Yegros – 24 de Setiembre Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 3.90. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The V2 confidence band is HIGH, with a historical expected ROI of 5.87% across 129 similar predictions. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The prediction received strong market support after the first appearance. Early prices historically produced the best long-term performance for this model profile. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample15
Win Rate26.7%
Profit+0.55u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
LOSSWatford - West Ham3.945.87%
LOSSFK Csikszereda Miercurea Ciuc - CFR Cluj3.765.87%
WINPartizan Belgrade - Getafe3.805.56%
LOSSCA Timbuense - Newell's3.755.87%
WINCD Estradense - Coruxo3.905.87%
LOSSSestri Levante - FC Vado3.905.56%
LOSSBjelovar - NK Krizevci3.795.87%
WINMlada Boleslav - Sparta Prague4.035.87%
Pick
1 @ 3.90
Kickoff
Lug 16, 2026 10:30 PM
Confidence
CONF: HIGH
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 5.87% • n=129
Start
Started 47d 10h ago
Updated
Updated 47d 12h ago
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