Model: TIPPSH

Fulgencio Yegros vs 24 de Setiembre

PREDICTION

@ 4.50

StatusUpcoming

KickoffLug 16, 2026 10:30 PM

ResultPending

StartStarts in 13h 29m

V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 0.63% · n=79

V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 14m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Fulgencio Yegros. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Fulgencio Yegros

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

47/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds4.80First seen

Current4.72Now

Max odds5.13Highest point

Min odds4.72Lowest point

VolatilityHighStable range

TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Fulgencio YegrosHOME

24 de SetiembreAWAY

DWW

Recent form

DLDLW

Avg goals scored

1.33

1.80

Defensive weakness

0.67

1.60

Shots on target for

2.67

4.20

SoT conceded pressure

1.67

6.40

Home splitW-W2.00 scored / 1.00 conceded

Away splitD-L-W-L-D1.60 scored / 1.40 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 4.50. The V2 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 0.63% based on n=79 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Paraguay Cup (py). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with High volatility.

Pick1

Odd4.50

V2 BandLOWROI 0.63% · n=79

V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0

Odds TrendDropping

VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

Despite entering the match at a generous price, Fulgencio Yegros has produced enough positive indicators to justify attention. The model does not assign a strong confidence profile here, making the pick more speculative.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.

3D: -25.7% 7D: -5.3% 15D: 10.5% 30D: 14.8%

Model insight

Fulgencio Yegros – 24 de Setiembre Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 4.50. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 0.63% across 79 similar predictions. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Moderate odds volatility indicates some market disagreement during the pre-match phase. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample2

Win Rate50.0%

Profit+2.30u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
WIN	Xuan Thien Phu Tho - Truong Tuoi Dong Nai	4.30	0.63%
LOSS	Itagui Leones - Independiente Medellin	4.31	0.63%

Pick

1 @ 4.50

Kickoff

Lug 16, 2026 10:30 PM

Confidence

CONF: LOW

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 0.63% • n=79

Start

Starts in 13h 29m

Updated

Updated 14m ago