Model: TipA1

Bragantino U20 (W) vs Portuguesa Desportos U20 (W)

PREDICTION

@ 2.25

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffAgo 05, 2026 10:00 PM

ResultLOSS3 - 1

StartStarted 5h 1m ago

V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.27% · n=1151

V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 16h 45m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Portuguesa Desportos U20 (W). This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Portuguesa Desportos U20 (W)Goal/Shots Index — H: 0.133 | A: -0.076

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Away edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Away edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

43/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds2.25First seen

Current2.27Now

Max odds2.30Highest point

Min odds2.25Lowest point

VolatilityLowStable range

TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Bragantino U20 (W)HOME

Portuguesa Desportos U20 (W)AWAY

WLWLL

Recent form

LWLLL

Avg goals scored

2.40

0.60

Defensive weakness

2.00

1.60

Shots on target for

4.20

3.20

SoT conceded pressure

7.40

4.00

Home splitW-W-L4.00 scored / 1.00 conceded

Away splitL-W1.50 scored / 1.50 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 2.25. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 4.27% based on n=1151 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Brazil Campeonato Paulista U20 Women (br). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Low volatility.

Pick2

Odd2.25

V2 BandMEDIUMROI 4.27% · n=1151

V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0

Odds TrendRising

VolatilityLow

AI Match Insight

Recent form does not create a strong separation, making the confidence band especially important here. The confidence profile is moderate, so the pick has statistical support but should not be treated as a low-risk prediction.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.

3D: 25.7% 7D: 21.5% 15D: 6.6% 30D: 11.0%

Model insight

Bragantino U20 (W) – Portuguesa Desportos U20 (W) Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.25. This prediction is generated by the TipA1 model profile. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM, with a historical expected ROI of 4.27% across 1151 similar predictions. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample206

Win Rate41.3%

Profit-11.63u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
WIN	America FC Propria - Atletico Gloriense	2.10	3.75%
WIN	FC Vsetin - Sigma Olomouc B	2.10	3.75%
LOSS	IFK Berga - IFK Trelleborg	2.35	4.27%
LOSS	Stockport - Preston	2.20	3.75%
WIN	Al Nejmeh - Al Ansar Beirut	2.30	4.27%
LOSS	Cove Rangers - Airdrieonians	2.25	4.27%
WIN	Ruthin Town FC - Holyhead Hotspur	2.45	4.27%
LOSS	SV Leobendorf - Parndorf	2.40	4.27%

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Queen of South - Peterhead	2	2.25	4.27%	08 Aug 16:00
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Pick

2 @ 2.25

Kickoff

Ago 05, 2026 10:00 PM

Confidence

CONF: MEDIUM

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 4.27% • n=1151

Start

Started 5h 1m ago

Updated

Updated 16h 45m ago