Model: TipA1

Thisted FC vs FA 2000

PREDICTION

@ 3.60

StatusUpcoming

KickoffAgo 08, 2026 5:00 PM

ResultPending

StartStarts in 1d 22h

V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 2.63% · n=305

V4 ConfidenceHIGHExpected ROI 5.70% · n=112

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 8h 17m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is FA 2000. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: FA 2000Goal/Shots Index — H: -0.318 | A: -0.091

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Away edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Away edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

59/100

Good value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds3.61First seen

Current3.62Now

Max odds3.62Highest point

Min odds3.61Lowest point

VolatilityLowStable range

TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Thisted FCHOME

FA 2000AWAY

WLLLL

Recent form

WLDLD

Avg goals scored

2.20

1.00

Defensive weakness

3.20

1.40

Shots on target for

3.00

5.00

SoT conceded pressure

6.80

4.40

Home splitL-L-L-W-W1.60 scored / 1.20 conceded

Away splitL-D-D-D-L0.20 scored / 0.60 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 3.60. The V4 confidence band is HIGH with an expected ROI of 5.70% based on n=112 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Denmark Division 2 (dk). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Low volatility.

Pick2

Odd3.60

V2 BandMEDIUMROI 2.63% · n=305

V4 BandHIGHROI 5.70% · n=112

Odds TrendRising

VolatilityLow

AI Match Insight

Although the odds are relatively high, FA 2000 shows enough recent performance support to make the pick interesting from a risk/reward perspective. This sits in a middle confidence range, suggesting a balanced but not especially dominant setup. FA 2000 is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.

3D: 22.3% 7D: 27.5% 15D: 6.9% 30D: 12.8%

Model insight

Thisted FC – FA 2000 Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 3.60. This prediction is generated by the TipA1 model profile. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM, with a historical expected ROI of 2.63% across 305 similar predictions. The V4 confidence band is HIGH, with a historical expected ROI of 5.70% across 112 historical samples. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample32

Win Rate37.5%

Profit+11.80u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
WIN	Strasbourg - Elversberg	3.80	2.27%
WIN	Huesca - UD Logrones	3.50	2.63%
LOSS	TP HCM (W) - Ha Noi (W)	3.60	2.63%
LOSS	Carlos Manucci - Club Ada Jaen	3.80	2.27%
WIN	Mohammedan SC - Samaleswari SC	3.40	2.63%
WIN	SV Tillmitsch - SC Fürstenfeld	3.50	2.63%
LOSS	Deportivo Cuenca - Emelec	3.50	2.63%
LOSS	Dover - Burgess Hill Town	3.75	4.37%

Pick

2 @ 3.60

Kickoff

Ago 08, 2026 5:00 PM

Confidence

CONF: MEDIUM

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 2.63% • n=305

Confidence V4

CONF V4: HIGH

Exp. ROI V4

5.70% • n=112

Start

Starts in 1d 22h

Updated

Updated 8h 17m ago