Deportivo Cuenca – Emelec

Model: TipA1

Deportivo Cuenca vs Emelec

PREDICTION
2
@ 3.25
StatusUpcoming
KickoffLug 27, 2026 12:00 AM
ResultPending
StartStarts in 1d 14h
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 2.63% · n=305
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 9m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Emelec. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: EmelecGoal/Shots Index — H: -0.075 | A: -0.070

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Away edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Away edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

46/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds3.50First seen
Current3.25Now
Max odds3.50Highest point
Min odds3.25Lowest point
VolatilityMediumStable range
TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Deportivo CuencaHOME
VS
EmelecAWAY
LLDLL
Recent form
DLWDD
Avg goals scored
0.20
1.00
Defensive weakness
1.80
1.60
Shots on target for
3.80
3.40
SoT conceded pressure
6.40
3.60
Home splitL-L-W-D-D0.80 scored / 1.20 conceded
Away splitL-W-D-D-D0.80 scored / 1.40 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 3.25. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 2.63% based on n=305 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Ecuador LigaPro Serie A (ec). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with Medium volatility.

Pick2
Odd3.25
V2 BandMEDIUMROI 2.63% · n=305
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendDropping
VolatilityMedium

AI Match Insight

The market offers a relatively high price, but recent statistical trends still provide meaningful support for Emelec. The confidence profile is moderate, so the pick has statistical support but should not be treated as a low-risk prediction.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.
3D: 22.9% 7D: 38.3% 15D: 19.8% 30D: 26.5%
Model insight

Deportivo Cuenca – Emelec Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 3.25. This prediction is generated by the TipA1 model profile. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM, with a historical expected ROI of 2.63% across 305 similar predictions. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The prediction received strong market support after the first appearance. Early prices historically produced the best long-term performance for this model profile. Moderate odds volatility indicates some market disagreement during the pre-match phase. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample11
Win Rate54.5%
Profit+8.65u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
WINCarrick Rangers - Ballymena Utd3.302.63%
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LOSSOperario PR - Gremio Novorizontino3.252.63%
WINDrukpa FC - Thimphu City3.104.44%
WINFC Trinity Zlin - MFK Skalica3.502.63%
LOSSFerroviario Lichinga - Costa Do Sol3.502.63%
LOSSArborg - Ellidi3.252.63%
WINWe United FC - Sagicor South East FC3.302.63%
Pick
2 @ 3.25
Kickoff
Lug 27, 2026 12:00 AM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 2.63% • n=305
Start
Starts in 1d 14h
Updated
Updated 9m ago
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