Ammanford AFC – Colwyn Bay

Model: TipTromba12H

Ammanford AFC vs Colwyn Bay

PREDICTION
1
@ 9.50
StatusUpcoming
KickoffAgo 07, 2026 10:45 PM
ResultPending
StartStarts in 28m
V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -1.30% · n=13
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 1d 9h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Ammanford AFC. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Ammanford AFCGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Away edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

43/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds3.90First seen
Current9.50Now
Max odds9.50Highest point
Min odds3.90Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Ammanford AFCHOME
VS
Colwyn BayAWAY
LWW
Recent form
WLDWL
Avg goals scored
2.33
1.60
Defensive weakness
1.00
1.60
Shots on target for
8.00
5.00
SoT conceded pressure
3.33
3.20
Home splitW4.00 scored / 0.00 conceded
Away splitL-W-D1.67 scored / 1.00 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 9.50. The V2 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -1.30% based on n=13 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Wales Premier League (gb). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick1
Odd9.50
V2 BandNONEROI -1.30% · n=13
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

From a statistical perspective, the difference between the two teams may be smaller than the current price indicates. The model does not assign a strong confidence profile here, making the pick more speculative. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Ammanford AFC's attacking profile.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.
3D: 10.4% 7D: 22.6% 15D: 5.4% 30D: 11.7%
Model insight

Ammanford AFC – Colwyn Bay Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 9.50. This prediction is generated by the TipTromba12H model profile. The V2 confidence band is NONE, with a historical expected ROI of -1.30% across 13 similar predictions. The available sample size is still relatively limited, which may increase performance variability. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample13
Win Rate7.7%
Profit-3.50u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
LOSSTevi Cocle (W) - Rayadas de Chiriqui (W)9.50-1.19%
LOSSFC Inter Sibiu - ACS Medias 20229.50-1.45%
WINUlsan Citizen FC - Ulsan HD9.50-1.45%
LOSSLake Macquarie (W) - Maitland FC (W)9.50-1.19%
LOSSFC Tallinna Wolves - Tabasalu FC Charma9.50-1.45%
LOSSKVV Thes Sport - Sint-Truidense9.50-1.45%
LOSSMacara (W) - Barcelona Guayaquil (W)9.50-1.30%
LOSSGangjin Swans (W) - Suwon FMC (W)9.50-1.19%
Pick
1 @ 9.50
Kickoff
Ago 07, 2026 10:45 PM
Confidence
CONF: NONE
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI -1.30% • n=13
Start
Starts in 28m
Updated
Updated 1d 9h ago
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