Macara (W) – Barcelona Guayaquil (W)

Model: TipTromba12H

Macara (W) vs Barcelona Guayaquil (W)

PREDICTION
1
@ 9.50
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffGiu 24, 2026 9:00 PM
ResultLOSS1 - 2
StartStarted 46d 6h ago
V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -1.30% · n=13
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 46d 23h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Macara (W). This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Macara (W)Goal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

43/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds13.00First seen
Current9.50Now
Max odds13.00Highest point
Min odds9.50Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Macara (W)HOME
VS
Barcelona Guayaquil (W)AWAY
LLWLL
Recent form
WWLWD
Avg goals scored
1.20
2.20
Defensive weakness
1.80
0.80
Shots on target for
5.40
5.00
SoT conceded pressure
7.60
4.75
Home splitL-W-L-W-W2.60 scored / 1.60 conceded
Away splitW-D1.50 scored / 1.00 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 9.50. The V2 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -1.30% based on n=13 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Ecuador Primera Women (ec). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with High volatility.

Pick1
Odd9.50
V2 BandNONEROI -1.30% · n=13
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendDropping
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The selection carries significant risk according to both market expectations and recent form indicators. If considered, this pick should be approached with caution due to the limited historical confidence.

Current Combo momentum is weak. Recent short-term performance has been below expectations, suggesting that current match conditions may be less favorable for the model.
3D: -15.5% 7D: -2.2% 15D: -1.9% 30D: -3.2%
Model insight

Macara (W) – Barcelona Guayaquil (W) Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 9.50. This prediction is generated by the TipTromba12H model profile. The V2 confidence band is NONE, with a historical expected ROI of -1.30% across 13 similar predictions. The available sample size is still relatively limited, which may increase performance variability. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The prediction received strong market support after the first appearance. Early prices historically produced the best long-term performance for this model profile. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample13
Win Rate7.7%
Profit-3.50u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
LOSSTevi Cocle (W) - Rayadas de Chiriqui (W)9.50-1.19%
LOSSFC Inter Sibiu - ACS Medias 20229.50-1.45%
WINUlsan Citizen FC - Ulsan HD9.50-1.45%
LOSSLake Macquarie (W) - Maitland FC (W)9.50-1.19%
LOSSFC Tallinna Wolves - Tabasalu FC Charma9.50-1.45%
LOSSKVV Thes Sport - Sint-Truidense9.50-1.45%
LOSSGangjin Swans (W) - Suwon FMC (W)9.50-1.19%
LOSSAC Houston Sur - GFI Academy9.50-1.45%
Pick
1 @ 9.50
Kickoff
Giu 24, 2026 9:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: NONE
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI -1.30% • n=13
Start
Started 46d 6h ago
Updated
Updated 46d 23h ago
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