Model: TIPPSA

Lidköpings FK vs Stenungsunds IF

PREDICTION

@ 2.15

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffAgo 08, 2026 6:00 PM

ResultWIN1 - 2

StartStarted 9h 23m ago

V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.76% · n=65

V4 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.76% · n=65

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 16h 9m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Stenungsunds IF. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Stenungsunds IFGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Away edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Away edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

33/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds2.40First seen

Current2.25Now

Max odds2.40Highest point

Min odds2.25Lowest point

VolatilityMediumStable range

TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Lidköpings FKHOME

Stenungsunds IFAWAY

LDWLL

Recent form

WDLWL

Avg goals scored

1.20

1.40

Defensive weakness

1.80

Shots on target for

2.40

4.80

SoT conceded pressure

6.80

3.60

Home splitL-L-L-L-L1.00 scored / 2.40 conceded

Away splitW-L-W-L-L1.60 scored / 2.20 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 2.15. The V4 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.76% based on n=65 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland (se). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with Medium volatility.

Pick2

Odd2.15

V2 BandLOWROI 1.76% · n=65

V4 BandLOWROI 1.76% · n=65

Odds TrendDropping

VolatilityMedium

AI Match Insight

The odds suggest a balanced contest, but recent performance data slightly favors Stenungsunds IF. Confidence remains limited, so this should be read as a cautious lean rather than a strong prediction. Stenungsunds IF is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.

3D: 5.4% 7D: 20.8% 15D: 5.3% 30D: 11.5%

Model insight

Lidköpings FK – Stenungsunds IF Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.15. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show LOW confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 1.76% and 1.76%. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The prediction received strong market support after the first appearance. Early prices historically produced the best long-term performance for this model profile. Moderate odds volatility indicates some market disagreement during the pre-match phase. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample114

Win Rate54.4%

Profit+18.70u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
WIN	TSV Havelse - VfB Stuttgart II	2.07	1.21%
WIN	Korona Kielce II - Wisla Krakow II	2.25	0.84%
LOSS	Larne FC - FC Iberia 1999	2.23	1.76%
LOSS	Wexford FC - Bray Wanderers	2.28	0.84%
WIN	Brommapojkarna - Malmo FF	2.08	1.21%
LOSS	Estrela - Al-Nassr Riyadh	2.23	1.21%
LOSS	FK Ekranas - FK Zalgiris Vilnius II	2.37	0.84%
LOSS	Carina Gubin - Miedz Legnica II	2.19	1.21%

Pick

2 @ 2.15

Kickoff

Ago 08, 2026 6:00 PM

Confidence

CONF: LOW

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 1.76% • n=65

Confidence V4

CONF V4: LOW

Exp. ROI V4

1.76% • n=65

Start

Started 9h 23m ago

Updated

Updated 16h 9m ago