Larne FC – FC Iberia 1999

Model: TIPPSA

Larne FC vs FC Iberia 1999

PREDICTION
2
@ 2.78
StatusUpcoming
KickoffAgo 04, 2026 11:00 PM
ResultPending
StartStarts in 1h 11m
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 3.61% · n=39
V4 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 3.61% · n=39
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 52m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is FC Iberia 1999. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: FC Iberia 1999Goal/Shots Index — H: -0.050 | A: -0.044

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Away edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Away edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

46/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.44First seen
Current2.81Now
Max odds2.81Highest point
Min odds2.27Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Larne FCHOME
VS
FC Iberia 1999AWAY
LLWWD
Recent form
DWLDW
Avg goals scored
0.60
1.80
Defensive weakness
2.00
1.60
Shots on target for
3.20
6.20
SoT conceded pressure
4.80
3.40
Home splitL-W-D-W-L2.20 scored / 1.80 conceded
Away splitD-W-W-L-L1.80 scored / 1.80 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 2.78. The V4 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 3.61% based on n=39 historical similar picks. The match belongs to UEFA Europa League Qualifying. Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick2
Odd2.78
V2 BandMEDIUMROI 3.61% · n=39
V4 BandMEDIUMROI 3.61% · n=39
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The current odds imply an underdog profile, although recent performances indicate a more competitive matchup. The confidence profile is moderate, so the pick has statistical support but should not be treated as a low-risk prediction. FC Iberia 1999 has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.
3D: 65.1% 7D: 28.4% 15D: 10.5% 30D: 14.1%
Model insight

Larne FC – FC Iberia 1999 Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.78. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show MEDIUM confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 3.61% and 3.61%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The available sample size is still relatively limited, which may increase performance variability. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample86
Win Rate39.5%
Profit+4.41u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
WINHertha Wels - SV Austria Salzburg2.764.96%
LOSSFC Gute - Kungsängens IF2.803.61%
LOSSAarau - Stade Lausanne-Ouchy2.764.96%
WINPanama U20 - Canada U202.714.13%
LOSSGremio - Fluminense2.543.43%
LOSSKalmar FF - Mjällby AIF2.714.13%
LOSSKalmar FF - Malmo FF2.824.96%
WINIFK Varnamo - Ljungskile2.543.59%
Active Similar Predictions
MatchPickOddExp. ROIKickoff
Retro FC Brasil - America RN22.703.31%30 Apr 02:30
Pick
2 @ 2.78
Kickoff
Ago 04, 2026 11:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 3.61% • n=39
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
3.61% • n=39
Start
Starts in 1h 11m
Updated
Updated 52m ago
Torna in alto