Storfors AIK – Umeå FF

Model: TipA1

Storfors AIK vs Umeå FF

PREDICTION
2
@ 2.15
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffAgo 08, 2026 6:00 PM
ResultLOSS1 - 1
StartStarted 1d 7h ago
V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -1.48% · n=691
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 1d 20h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Umeå FF. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Umeå FFGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Away edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Away edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

21/100
Poor value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds1.95First seen
Current2.15Now
Max odds2.15Highest point
Min odds1.95Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Storfors AIKHOME
VS
Umeå FFAWAY
DWLLW
Recent form
DWL
Avg goals scored
1.40
2.67
Defensive weakness
1.60
1.67
Shots on target for
3.20
6.67
SoT conceded pressure
4.60
4.00
Home splitD-W-L-L-L1.20 scored / 2.20 conceded
Away splitD-W3.00 scored / 1.00 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 2.15. The V2 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -1.48% based on n=691 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Sweden 2.div Norrland (se). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick2
Odd2.15
V2 BandNONEROI -1.48% · n=691
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The price and recent metrics both point to a relatively open contest. The model does not assign a strong confidence profile here, making the pick more speculative. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Umeå FF's attacking profile.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.
3D: 10.6% 7D: 15.2% 15D: 5.7% 30D: 10.9%
Model insight

Storfors AIK – Umeå FF Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.15. This prediction is generated by the TipA1 model profile. The V2 confidence band is NONE, with a historical expected ROI of -1.48% across 691 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample204
Win Rate47.1%
Profit-4.80u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
LOSSKlepp (W) - Fyllingsdalen (W)2.00-1.48%
LOSSJonsereds IF - Landvetter IS2.15-3.85%
WINNordstrand - Frigg2.00-1.48%
LOSSRedcar Athletic - Bury2.10-3.85%
WINRäppe GOIF - IFK Berga2.05-1.48%
LOSSUnion San Felipe - Deportes Recoleta2.00-3.85%
LOSSSan Francisco Reserves - CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves2.00-1.48%
LOSSBelmont Swansea United SC - Lambton Jaffas2.20-1.48%
Pick
2 @ 2.15
Kickoff
Ago 08, 2026 6:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: NONE
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI -1.48% • n=691
Start
Started 1d 7h ago
Updated
Updated 1d 20h ago
Torna in alto