MFK Vitkovice – MFK Havirov

Model: TIPPSH

MFK Vitkovice vs MFK Havirov

PREDICTION
1
@ 2.05
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffAgo 08, 2026 7:00 PM
ResultLOSS1 - 1
StartStarted 1h 29m ago
V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.04% · n=5438
V4 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.63% · n=470
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 3h 33m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is MFK Vitkovice. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: MFK VitkoviceGoal/Shots Index — H: -0.045 | A: -0.062

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

31/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.00First seen
Current2.30Now
Max odds2.35Highest point
Min odds2.00Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

MFK VitkoviceHOME
VS
MFK HavirovAWAY
LWWWL
Recent form
LDLLL
Avg goals scored
1.80
1.00
Defensive weakness
1.40
2.40
Shots on target for
7.40
5.80
SoT conceded pressure
3.40
3.40
Home splitW-L-W-D-D2.20 scored / 1.00 conceded
Away splitD-L-L-W-D1.40 scored / 1.60 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.05. The V4 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.63% based on n=470 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Czechia 3. Liga (cz). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick1
Odd2.05
V2 BandLOWROI 1.04% · n=5438
V4 BandLOWROI 1.63% · n=470
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The price is not extreme, and recent results provide a reasonable statistical basis for the pick. The model does not assign a strong confidence profile here, making the pick more speculative. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to MFK Vitkovice's attacking profile.

Current Combo momentum is positive. Recent Combo selections remain profitable across multiple recent windows, indicating stable short-term performance.
3D: 4.0% 7D: 14.2% 15D: 4.8% 30D: 10.5%
Model insight

MFK Vitkovice – MFK Havirov Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.05. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show LOW confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 1.04% and 1.63%. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample533
Win Rate48.0%
Profit-15.35u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
LOSSGyirmot SE - Kazincbarcikai BSC2.071.04%
WINMKS Kluczbork - Gornik Polkowice2.301.59%
LOSSAveley - Eastbourne Borough2.101.31%
WINWisla Plock II - Lechia Tomaszow Mazowiecki2.001.31%
WINHanworth Villa - Taunton Town2.071.04%
LOSSBenesov - Aritma Praha2.051.31%
WINTruro City - Maidenhead Utd2.031.04%
LOSSFK Trutnov - Spartak Police Nad Metuji2.051.04%
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Pick
1 @ 2.05
Kickoff
Ago 08, 2026 7:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: LOW
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 1.04% • n=5438
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
1.63% • n=470
Start
Started 1h 29m ago
Updated
Updated 3h 33m ago
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