FC Dordrecht vs Ajax Reserves
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is FC Dordrecht. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: FC DordrechtGoal/Shots Index — H: -0.053 | A: -0.055Value Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.77. The V4 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 3.37% based on n=795 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Netherlands Eerste Divisie (nl). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.
AI Match Insight
In a fairly competitive price range, recent form gives FC Dordrecht a useful statistical edge. The model gives this selection a reasonable profile, although the confidence level remains measured. FC Dordrecht has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.
FC Dordrecht – Ajax Reserves Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | BFC Daugavpils - Tukums 2000 | 1.75 | 3.37% |
| WIN | Bayern Munich - Aston Villa | 1.92 | 3.37% |
| LOSS | Beitar Jerusalem - AEK Larnaca | 1.95 | 3.37% |
| WIN | Sekhukhune United FC - Durban City | 1.88 | 3.37% |
| WIN | Ponte Preta U20 - Uniao Suzano AC U20 | 1.81 | 3.37% |
| WIN | Queen's Park - Queen of South | 2.01 | 3.37% |
| WIN | Ljungskile - Sandvikens IF | 1.94 | 3.37% |
| WIN | Detroit City FC - Indy Eleven | 1.76 | 3.37% |
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slask Wroclaw II - KKS 1925 Kalisz | 1 | 1.98 | 4.86% | 09 May 13:00 |
| FC Spartak Trnava - MSK Zilina | 1 | 1.93 | 2.30% | 10 May 19:00 |