Caen – Valenciennes

Model: TIPPSA

Caen vs Valenciennes

PREDICTION
2
@ 3.12
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffAgo 07, 2026 10:45 PM
ResultLOSS4 - 0
StartStarted 23h 39m ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.96% · n=166
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 1d 1h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Valenciennes. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: ValenciennesGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.246 | A: 0.039

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Away edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Away edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

53/100
Good value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds3.44First seen
Current3.12Now
Max odds3.45Highest point
Min odds3.09Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

CaenHOME
VS
ValenciennesAWAY
WLDWW
Recent form
LDWDW
Avg goals scored
2.60
1.40
Defensive weakness
1.00
1.20
Shots on target for
5.60
5.20
SoT conceded pressure
4.60
4.80
Home splitW-L-D-W-W2.60 scored / 1.00 conceded
Away splitL-W-D-W-L1.20 scored / 1.20 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 3.12. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 4.96% based on n=166 historical similar picks. The match belongs to France Ligue 3 (fr). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with High volatility.

Pick2
Odd3.12
V2 BandMEDIUMROI 4.96% · n=166
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendDropping
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The selection carries significant risk according to both market expectations and recent form indicators. This sits in a middle confidence range, suggesting a balanced but not especially dominant setup.

Current Combo momentum is positive. Recent Combo selections remain profitable across multiple recent windows, indicating stable short-term performance.
3D: 4.0% 7D: 14.2% 15D: 4.8% 30D: 10.5%
Model insight

Caen – Valenciennes Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 3.12. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM, with a historical expected ROI of 4.96% across 166 similar predictions. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The prediction received strong market support after the first appearance. Early prices historically produced the best long-term performance for this model profile. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample32
Win Rate31.3%
Profit+1.03u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
LOSSKickers Offenbach - FC Astoria Walldorf3.304.77%
LOSSHodd - Moss3.044.96%
WINJunior - Millonarios3.324.77%
WINShandong Taishan - Henan3.363.84%
LOSSUnion Berlin (W) - Hamburger SV (W)3.304.77%
LOSSWesterlo - KFCO Beerschot Wilrijk3.344.77%
LOSSLincoln Red Imps FC - Inter Club d'Escaldes3.304.77%
LOSSDodoma Jiji FC - JKT Tanzania3.054.96%
Pick
2 @ 3.12
Kickoff
Ago 07, 2026 10:45 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 4.96% • n=166
Start
Started 23h 39m ago
Updated
Updated 1d 1h ago
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