Model: TIPPSA

TSV Havelse vs VfB Stuttgart II

PREDICTION

@ 2.06

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffAgo 08, 2026 4:00 PM

ResultWIN2 - 3

StartStarted 13h 1m ago

V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.21% · n=228

V4 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.21% · n=228

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 15h 5m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is VfB Stuttgart II. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: VfB Stuttgart IIGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: 0.037

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Away edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Away edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

30/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds2.00First seen

Current2.06Now

Max odds2.09Highest point

Min odds2.00Lowest point

VolatilityMediumStable range

TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

TSV HavelseHOME

VfB Stuttgart IIAWAY

LLLWL

Recent form

WWLLW

Avg goals scored

1.40

3.80

Defensive weakness

3.40

2.40

Shots on target for

2.00

8.20

SoT conceded pressure

6.60

3.80

Home splitL-W-W-W-L2.00 scored / 2.00 conceded

Away splitW-L-L-L2.25 scored / 3.25 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 2.06. The V4 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.21% based on n=228 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Germany 3. Liga (de). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Medium volatility.

Pick2

Odd2.06

V2 BandLOWROI 1.21% · n=228

V4 BandLOWROI 1.21% · n=228

Odds TrendRising

VolatilityMedium

AI Match Insight

The price is not extreme, and recent results provide a reasonable statistical basis for the pick. The model does not assign a strong confidence profile here, making the pick more speculative. VfB Stuttgart II is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.

3D: 21.3% 7D: 18.5% 15D: 7.6% 30D: 11.5%

Model insight

TSV Havelse – VfB Stuttgart II Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.06. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show LOW confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 1.21% and 1.21%. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample99

Win Rate52.5%

Profit+10.09u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
WIN	Korona Kielce II - Wisla Krakow II	2.25	0.84%
LOSS	Larne FC - FC Iberia 1999	2.23	1.76%
LOSS	Wexford FC - Bray Wanderers	2.28	0.84%
WIN	Brommapojkarna - Malmo FF	2.08	1.21%
LOSS	Estrela - Al-Nassr Riyadh	2.23	1.21%
LOSS	Carina Gubin - Miedz Legnica II	2.19	1.21%
LOSS	Hradec Kralove - Tromso	2.11	1.21%
LOSS	Amazonas FC - Paysandu	2.15	1.21%

Pick

2 @ 2.06

Kickoff

Ago 08, 2026 4:00 PM

Confidence

CONF: LOW

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 1.21% • n=228

Confidence V4

CONF V4: LOW

Exp. ROI V4

1.21% • n=228

Start

Started 13h 1m ago

Updated

Updated 15h 5m ago