Mlada Boleslav – Sparta Prague

Model: TIPPSH

Mlada Boleslav vs Sparta Prague

PREDICTION
1
@ 4.08
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffAgo 08, 2026 10:00 PM
ResultWIN2 - 0
StartStarted 1h 17m ago
V2 ConfidenceHIGHExpected ROI 5.87% · n=129
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 5h 3m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Mlada Boleslav. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Mlada BoleslavGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.103 | A: -0.020

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

63/100
Good value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds4.34First seen
Current4.08Now
Max odds4.50Highest point
Min odds4.00Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Mlada BoleslavHOME
VS
Sparta PragueAWAY
WDWWW
Recent form
LWWLL
Avg goals scored
3.00
1.40
Defensive weakness
1.20
2.40
Shots on target for
6.00
3.00
SoT conceded pressure
4.80
5.40
Home splitW-W-W-L-L1.80 scored / 0.80 conceded
Away splitL-L-L-L-W1.00 scored / 2.20 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 4.08. The V2 confidence band is HIGH with an expected ROI of 5.87% based on n=129 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Czechia First League (cz). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with High volatility.

Pick1
Odd4.08
V2 BandHIGHROI 5.87% · n=129
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendDropping
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

Although the odds are relatively high, Mlada Boleslav shows enough recent performance support to make the pick interesting from a risk/reward perspective. Historical model performance remains supportive, with similar HIGH underdog setups showing encouraging long-term results. Mlada Boleslav has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.
3D: 20.5% 7D: 18.1% 15D: 7.2% 30D: 11.3%
Model insight

Mlada Boleslav – Sparta Prague Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 4.08. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The V2 confidence band is HIGH, with a historical expected ROI of 5.87% across 129 similar predictions. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The prediction received strong market support after the first appearance. Early prices historically produced the best long-term performance for this model profile. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample8
Win Rate12.5%
Profit-3.97u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
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LOSSFK Bumprom - FK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk3.945.87%
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LOSSRagsveds IF - Enkopings SK4.205.56%
LOSSLyn 1896 U19 - Molde U193.905.87%
Pick
1 @ 4.08
Kickoff
Ago 08, 2026 10:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: HIGH
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 5.87% • n=129
Start
Started 1h 17m ago
Updated
Updated 5h 3m ago
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