Model: TipTromba35H

AD Marco 09 vs Pacos Ferreira

PREDICTION

@ 3.00

StatusUpcoming

KickoffAgo 09, 2026 2:00 PM

ResultPending

StartStarts in 54m

V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 0.01% · n=821

V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 10h 27m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is AD Marco 09. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: AD Marco 09Goal/Shots Index — H: 0.004 | A: —

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

35/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds3.10First seen

Current3.05Now

Max odds3.17Highest point

Min odds3.05Lowest point

VolatilityMediumStable range

TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

AD Marco 09HOME

Pacos FerreiraAWAY

DDWWD

Recent form

WDLLW

Avg goals scored

1.00

1.60

Defensive weakness

0.60

1.80

Shots on target for

3.60

4.60

SoT conceded pressure

3.20

5.80

Home splitW-W1.00 scored / 0.00 conceded

Away splitD-L-D0.33 scored / 1.00 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 3.00. The V2 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 0.01% based on n=821 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Portugal Liga 3 (pt). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with Medium volatility.

Pick1

Odd3.00

V2 BandLOWROI 0.01% · n=821

V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0

Odds TrendDropping

VolatilityMedium

AI Match Insight

The market offers a relatively high price, but recent statistical trends still provide meaningful support for AD Marco 09. If considered, this pick should be approached with caution due to the limited historical confidence.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.

3D: 22.0% 7D: 17.0% 15D: 6.8% 30D: 11.1%

Model insight

AD Marco 09 – Pacos Ferreira Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 3.00. This prediction is generated by the TipTromba35H model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 0.01% across 821 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample99

Win Rate25.3%

Profit-22.06u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
LOSS	Polissya Zhytomyr II - FC Metalist Kharkiv	3.00	0.01%
LOSS	Oita - Shonan Bellmare	3.00	0.01%
LOSS	VVV - Heracles	3.20	0.01%
LOSS	Yokohama F-Marinos - Kashima Antlers	3.20	0.01%
WIN	St Albans - Chatham Town	3.00	0.01%
LOSS	Gold Coast Knights - Peninsula Power	3.22	0.01%
LOSS	Airbus UK - Cardiff MU	3.10	0.01%
LOSS	Sao Goncalo - Sampaio Correa RJ	3.00	0.01%

Active Similar Predictions

Match	Pick	Odd	Exp. ROI	Kickoff
FK Bokelj - Sutjeska Niksic	1	3.00	0.01%	09 Aug 20:00

Pick

1 @ 3.00

Kickoff

Ago 09, 2026 2:00 PM

Confidence

CONF: LOW

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 0.01% • n=821

Start

Starts in 54m

Updated

Updated 10h 27m ago