Sao Goncalo vs Sampaio Correa RJ
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Sao Goncalo. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: Sao GoncaloGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.101 | A: 0.058Value Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 3.00. The V2 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 0.01% based on n=821 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Brazil Copa Rio (br). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Low volatility.
AI Match Insight
While the odds remain elevated, the underlying metrics suggest the selection may be more competitive than the market implies. Confidence remains limited, so this should be read as a cautious lean rather than a strong prediction. Sao Goncalo has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.
Sao Goncalo – Sampaio Correa RJ Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | Zamora II - Urena SC | 3.00 | 0.01% |
| LOSS | UCAM Murcia CF - Hercules | 3.20 | 0.01% |
| LOSS | Espanyol B - UE Sant Andreu | 3.10 | 0.01% |
| LOSS | Mansfield - Derby | 3.10 | 0.01% |
| WIN | CA Chaco For Ever - Deportivo Moron | 3.04 | 0.01% |
| WIN | Juarez FC (W) - Pachuca (W) | 3.00 | 0.01% |
| WIN | Wealdstone - AFC Wimbledon | 3.10 | 0.01% |
| LOSS | FC Levadia Tallinn - IFK Goteborg | 3.14 | 0.01% |
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Orgryte IS - AIK | 1 | 3.20 | 0.01% | 08 Aug 15:00 |
| Burton Albion - Blackburn | 1 | 3.02 | 0.01% | 08 Aug 16:00 |