Model: TipTromba6H

Johor Darul Takzim vs Chelsea

PREDICTION

@ 5.75

StatusUpcoming

KickoffAgo 09, 2026 4:00 PM

ResultPending

StartStarts in 15h 4m

V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -1.76% · n=22

V4 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -1.76% · n=22

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 8h 39m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Johor Darul Takzim. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Johor Darul TakzimGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.038 | A: -0.013

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

41/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Johor Darul TakzimHOME

ChelseaAWAY

WDLWW

Recent form

WLLWL

Avg goals scored

1.60

2.20

Defensive weakness

0.80

1.80

Shots on target for

7.00

6.40

SoT conceded pressure

3.20

4.40

Home splitW-L-W-D-W3.00 scored / 1.00 conceded

Away splitW-L-D-L2.00 scored / 2.50 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 5.75. The V4 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -1.76% based on n=22 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Elite Club Friendlies. Odds movement is currently classified as Stable with Low volatility.

Pick1

Odd5.75

V2 BandNONEROI -1.76% · n=22

V4 BandNONEROI -1.76% · n=22

Odds TrendStable

VolatilityLow

AI Match Insight

The market offers a relatively high price, but recent statistical trends still provide meaningful support for Johor Darul Takzim. The model does not assign a strong confidence profile here, making the pick more speculative.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.

3D: 17.7% 7D: 17.1% 15D: 9.8% 30D: 11.5%

Model insight

Johor Darul Takzim – Chelsea Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 5.75. This prediction is generated by the TipTromba6H model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show NONE confidence, with historical expected ROI values of -1.76% and -1.76%. Historical performance for this profile has been negative or unstable, so this signal should be treated with additional caution. The available sample size is still relatively limited, which may increase performance variability. Odds history is still limited because this prediction has only recently appeared in the monitored bookmaker panel. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample8

Win Rate0.0%

Profit-8.00u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
LOSS	Vasco da Gama (W) - Sao Paulo (W)	5.75	-1.76%
LOSS	Farnborough - Reading	5.75	-1.76%
LOSS	Northern Tigers FC (W) - University NSW (W)	5.75	-1.76%
LOSS	Uniao Sao Joao EC U20 - Gremio Novorizontino U20	5.75	-1.76%
LOSS	Deportes Recoleta (W) - Santiago Wanderers (W)	5.75	-1.00%
LOSS	Ningxia Pingluo Hengli - Hangzhou Linping Wuyue	5.75	-1.00%
LOSS	SC Zulimanit - NiemU	5.75	-1.00%
LOSS	Thailand U20 (W) - China PR U20 (W)	5.75	-1.00%

Pick

1 @ 5.75

Kickoff

Ago 09, 2026 4:00 PM

Confidence

CONF: NONE

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI -1.76% • n=22

Confidence V4

CONF V4: NONE

Exp. ROI V4

-1.76% • n=22

Start

Starts in 15h 4m

Updated

Updated 8h 39m ago