FK Jelgava – FK Auda

Model: TipA1

FK Jelgava vs FK Auda

PREDICTION
2
@ 2.10
StatusUpcoming
KickoffAgo 09, 2026 5:00 PM
ResultPending
StartStarts in 17h 40m
V2 ConfidenceELITEExpected ROI 11.04% · n=57
V4 ConfidenceELITEExpected ROI 11.04% · n=57
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 6h 59m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is FK Auda. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: FK AudaGoal/Shots Index — H: -0.058 | A: 0.119

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Away edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Away edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

65/100
Good value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds1.87First seen
Current2.10Now
Max odds2.10Highest point
Min odds1.87Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

FK JelgavaHOME
VS
FK AudaAWAY
LLLLL
Recent form
WWWWW
Avg goals scored
0.20
2.00
Defensive weakness
1.80
0.60
Shots on target for
4.60
3.80
SoT conceded pressure
5.60
4.00
Home splitL-L-L-W-W1.20 scored / 1.20 conceded
Away splitW-D-D-W-L1.40 scored / 1.00 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 2.10. The V4 confidence band is ELITE with an expected ROI of 11.04% based on n=57 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Latvia Virsliga (lv). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick2
Odd2.10
V2 BandELITEROI 11.04% · n=57
V4 BandELITEROI 11.04% · n=57
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The price is not extreme, and recent results provide a reasonable statistical basis for the pick. The ELITE confidence band reinforces the selection, with comparable historical cases showing a stronger expected profile.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.
3D: 16.6% 7D: 16.6% 15D: 9.4% 30D: 11.3%
Model insight

FK Jelgava – FK Auda Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.10. This prediction is generated by the TipA1 model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show ELITE confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 11.04% and 11.04%. Historical expected profitability for this profile has been well above average, although future outcomes remain sensitive to market and team-news conditions. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample15
Win Rate80.0%
Profit+11.55u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
WINNewport City FC - Carmarthen2.1011.04%
WINLidköpings FK - Stenungsunds IF2.3511.14%
WINFC Järfälla - IF Karlstad Fotboll2.2011.04%
LOSSUniao Frederiquense - GE Bage2.3011.14%
WINHaukar (W) - HK Kopavogur (W)2.3011.14%
WINFK Kyzylzhar - FC Elimai Semey2.1011.04%
WINGyeongju HNP - Pocheon Citizen FC2.2511.14%
WINHeidelberg United (W) - Boroondara Eagles (W)2.2511.14%
Pick
2 @ 2.10
Kickoff
Ago 09, 2026 5:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: ELITE
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 11.04% • n=57
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
11.04% • n=57
Start
Starts in 17h 40m
Updated
Updated 6h 59m ago
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