Fiorentina (W) – Man City (W)

Model: TipTromba9H

Fiorentina (W) vs Man City (W)

PREDICTION
1
@ 8.50
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffAgo 08, 2026 10:00 PM
ResultLOSS1 - 1
StartStarted 1h 8m ago
V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -0.15% · n=34
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 3h 12m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Fiorentina (W). This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Fiorentina (W)Goal/Shots Index — H: 0.087 | A: —

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Away edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

47/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds16.00First seen
Current8.65Now
Max odds16.00Highest point
Min odds8.65Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Fiorentina (W)HOME
VS
Man City (W)AWAY
WWWWD
Recent form
WWWWL
Avg goals scored
1.80
2.80
Defensive weakness
1.00
1.20
Shots on target for
5.80
7.00
SoT conceded pressure
4.00
3.00
Home splitW-W-L1.33 scored / 1.00 conceded
Away splitW-W-W-L-W2.80 scored / 1.20 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 8.50. The V2 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -0.15% based on n=34 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Women’s Friendly. Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with High volatility.

Pick1
Odd8.50
V2 BandNONEROI -0.15% · n=34
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendDropping
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

Although the selection comes at relatively high odds, the recent statistical profile appears more balanced than the market suggests. Confidence remains limited, so this should be read as a cautious lean rather than a strong prediction.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.
3D: 16.6% 7D: 13.7% 15D: 9.4% 30D: 11.3%
Model insight

Fiorentina (W) – Man City (W) Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 8.50. This prediction is generated by the TipTromba9H model profile. The V2 confidence band is NONE, with a historical expected ROI of -0.15% across 34 similar predictions. The available sample size is still relatively limited, which may increase performance variability. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The prediction received strong market support after the first appearance. Early prices historically produced the best long-term performance for this model profile. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample41
Win Rate2.4%
Profit-32.50u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
LOSSSC Campo Mourao - CE Uniao8.50-0.15%
WINEl Nacional - Club 9 de Octubre8.50-6.05%
LOSSUNSAAC (W) - Atletico Andahuaylas (W)8.50-6.05%
LOSSHolstebro - AaB8.50-7.07%
LOSSMoldova Beach - Italy Beach8.50-0.15%
LOSSSportivo San Lorenzo Reserves - Club Guarani Reserves8.50-6.42%
LOSSBroadmeadow Magic (W) - New Lambton FC (W)8.50-6.05%
LOSSMattersburger Sportverein 2020 - First Vienna FC 18948.50-6.05%
Active Similar Predictions
MatchPickOddExp. ROIKickoff
Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilskyi - Shakhtar Donetsk18.50-6.42%09 Aug 14:30
Shirak - FC Noah18.50-6.42%09 Aug 17:00
Pick
1 @ 8.50
Kickoff
Ago 08, 2026 10:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: NONE
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI -0.15% • n=34
Start
Started 1h 8m ago
Updated
Updated 3h 12m ago
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