Model: TipTromba2H

Hammarby TFF vs FBK Karlstad

PREDICTION

@ 1.53

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffAgo 09, 2026 6:00 PM

ResultLOSS1 - 1

StartStarted 10h 32m ago

V2 ConfidenceHIGHExpected ROI 6.49% · n=235

V4 ConfidenceHIGHExpected ROI 6.49% · n=235

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 1d 10h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Hammarby TFF. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Hammarby TFFGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.203 | A: -0.120

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

41/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds1.47First seen

Current1.53Now

Max odds1.53Highest point

Min odds1.47Lowest point

VolatilityMediumStable range

TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Hammarby TFFHOME

FBK KarlstadAWAY

DWWDW

Recent form

DLLWL

Avg goals scored

3.20

0.80

Defensive weakness

0.60

2.60

Shots on target for

6.80

3.40

SoT conceded pressure

3.00

5.00

Home splitD-W-D-L-W2.20 scored / 1.20 conceded

Away splitD-W-L-W-D1.60 scored / 1.20 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.53. The V4 confidence band is HIGH with an expected ROI of 6.49% based on n=235 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Sweden 1.div Norra (se). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Medium volatility.

Pick1

Odd1.53

V2 BandHIGHROI 6.49% · n=235

V4 BandHIGHROI 6.49% · n=235

Odds TrendRising

VolatilityMedium

AI Match Insight

Market expectations and recent results both point toward Hammarby TFF as the more reliable side. The HIGH confidence band reinforces the selection, with comparable historical cases showing a stronger expected profile. Hammarby TFF has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.

3D: 16.3% 7D: 16.5% 15D: 8.2% 30D: 11.5%

Model insight

Hammarby TFF – FBK Karlstad Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.53. This prediction is generated by the TipTromba2H model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show HIGH confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 6.49% and 6.49%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample75

Win Rate68.0%

Profit+8.62u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
WIN	EC Sao Bernardo - Sao Caetano	1.75	7.35%
LOSS	FC Heimo (W) - EPS (W)	1.75	6.89%
WIN	Kagoshima United - Thespa Gunma	1.75	7.35%
LOSS	Bavois - FC Zurich II	1.75	6.89%
WIN	FCJ Blackbird - JJK/2	1.50	6.49%
LOSS	SAK Klagenfurt - KAC 1909	1.75	6.17%
WIN	Skara - Vanersborgs FK	1.55	6.49%
WIN	Bronshoj BK - Sundby	1.62	6.49%

Pick

1 @ 1.53

Kickoff

Ago 09, 2026 6:00 PM

Confidence

CONF: HIGH

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 6.49% • n=235

Confidence V4

CONF V4: HIGH

Exp. ROI V4

6.49% • n=235

Start

Started 10h 32m ago

Updated

Updated 1d 10h ago