Model: TIPPSH

Souths United vs Taringa Rovers

PREDICTION

@ 1.96

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffAgo 09, 2026 10:45 AM

ResultLOSS1 - 2

StartStarted 18h 34m ago

V2 ConfidenceHIGHExpected ROI 6.72% · n=285

V4 ConfidenceHIGHExpected ROI 6.72% · n=285

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 21h 21m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Souths United. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Souths UnitedGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: -0.103

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

48/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds2.40First seen

Current2.40Now

Max odds2.40Highest point

Min odds2.40Lowest point

VolatilityLowStable range

TrendStableShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Souths UnitedHOME

Taringa RoversAWAY

LWWWL

Recent form

WWLLL

Avg goals scored

1.60

1.00

Defensive weakness

1.40

2.00

Shots on target for

7.80

3.00

SoT conceded pressure

5.80

8.80

Home splitL-W-L-L-L0.80 scored / 1.80 conceded

Away splitW-W-L-W-L1.40 scored / 2.00 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.96. The V4 confidence band is HIGH with an expected ROI of 6.72% based on n=285 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Australia Queensland Premier League 2 (au). Odds movement is currently classified as Stable with Low volatility.

Pick1

Odd1.96

V2 BandHIGHROI 6.72% · n=285

V4 BandHIGHROI 6.72% · n=285

Odds TrendStable

VolatilityLow

AI Match Insight

The price is not extreme, and recent results provide a reasonable statistical basis for the pick. Historical model data adds support here, as similar HIGH selections have produced encouraging results. Souths United has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.

3D: 7.6% 7D: 11.3% 15D: 6.7% 30D: 10.2%

Model insight

Souths United – Taringa Rovers Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.96. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show HIGH confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 6.72% and 6.72%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample22

Win Rate54.5%

Profit+1.58u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
LOSS	Nelson Suburbs - Christchurch United	1.72	5.11%
LOSS	Vysocina Jihlava - FK Pribram	2.01	6.72%
WIN	Sporting - Nottm Forest	2.05	6.72%
LOSS	Bay FC (W) - Reign FC (W)	2.18	6.72%
WIN	Portland Timbers - Seattle Sounders	2.14	6.72%
WIN	Flint City Bucks - Ventura County Fusion	1.79	6.72%
WIN	Gyeongnam FC - Ansan Greeners FC	1.78	6.72%
WIN	Botafogo SP - Avai	1.96	6.72%

Active Similar Predictions

Match	Pick	Odd	Exp. ROI	Kickoff
Leones FC - Guayaquil City	1	1.87	6.72%	23 Jul 23:30
Sabah - AGF Aarhus	1	2.00	6.72%	11 Aug 18:00

Pick

1 @ 1.96

Kickoff

Ago 09, 2026 10:45 AM

Confidence

CONF: HIGH

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 6.72% • n=285

Confidence V4

CONF V4: HIGH

Exp. ROI V4

6.72% • n=285

Start

Started 18h 34m ago

Updated

Updated 21h 21m ago