Model: TIPPSH

Sporting vs Nottm Forest

PREDICTION

@ 2.05

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffLug 31, 2026 10:45 PM

ResultWIN4 - 1

StartStarted 16h 4m ago

V2 ConfidenceHIGHExpected ROI 6.72% · n=285

V4 ConfidenceHIGHExpected ROI 6.72% · n=285

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 1d 3h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Sporting. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: SportingGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.036 | A: 0.092

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

49/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds2.21First seen

Current2.08Now

Max odds2.21Highest point

Min odds2.08Lowest point

VolatilityMediumStable range

TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

SportingHOME

Nottm ForestAWAY

WWWWL

Recent form

LWWWD

Avg goals scored

3.60

1.80

Defensive weakness

0.80

1.20

Shots on target for

5.20

3.60

SoT conceded pressure

1.40

2.40

Home splitW-W-W-W-L3.60 scored / 0.80 conceded

Away splitL-W-W-L-L1.40 scored / 2.40 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.05. The V4 confidence band is HIGH with an expected ROI of 6.72% based on n=285 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Elite Club Friendlies. Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with Medium volatility.

Pick1

Odd2.05

V2 BandHIGHROI 6.72% · n=285

V4 BandHIGHROI 6.72% · n=285

Odds TrendDropping

VolatilityMedium

AI Match Insight

This looks like a competitive matchup, although the form profile gives the selected side some support. The HIGH confidence band reinforces the selection, with comparable historical cases showing a stronger expected profile. Sporting has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.

3D: -1.4% 7D: -9.4% 15D: 6.5% 30D: 7.9%

Model insight

Sporting – Nottm Forest Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.05. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show HIGH confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 6.72% and 6.72%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The prediction received strong market support after the first appearance. Early prices historically produced the best long-term performance for this model profile. Moderate odds volatility indicates some market disagreement during the pre-match phase. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample20

Win Rate55.0%

Profit+2.43u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
WIN	Botafogo SP - Avai	1.96	6.72%
WIN	Belgium - Senegal	2.12	6.72%
LOSS	CRB - Fortaleza	2.17	6.72%
WIN	University NSW U20 - St George Saints U20	1.96	6.72%
WIN	Jincheon HR - Gijang United	1.90	6.72%
LOSS	KTP - FC Haka	2.12	6.72%
WIN	Keflavik - Thor Akureyri	1.82	6.72%
WIN	Henan U20 - Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic U20	2.04	6.72%

Active Similar Predictions

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Portland Timbers - Seattle Sounders	1	2.14	6.72%	02 Aug 04:30

Pick

1 @ 2.05

Kickoff

Lug 31, 2026 10:45 PM

Confidence

CONF: HIGH

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 6.72% • n=285

Confidence V4

CONF V4: HIGH

Exp. ROI V4

6.72% • n=285

Start

Started 16h 4m ago

Updated

Updated 1d 3h ago