Paksi – Kispest Honved

Model: TIPPSA

Paksi vs Kispest Honved

PREDICTION
2
@ 3.70
StatusUpcoming
KickoffAgo 09, 2026 5:30 PM
ResultPending
StartStarts in 4h 1m
V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -1.31% · n=19
V4 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -1.31% · n=19
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 10m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Kispest Honved. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Kispest HonvedGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.014 | A: -0.014

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Away edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Away edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

35/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds3.51First seen
Current3.90Now
Max odds3.90Highest point
Min odds3.51Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

PaksiHOME
VS
Kispest HonvedAWAY
LDWLL
Recent form
DDLWW
Avg goals scored
2.00
2.60
Defensive weakness
3.00
1.20
Shots on target for
4.60
7.20
SoT conceded pressure
6.60
2.80
Home splitW-L-L-D-W2.40 scored / 2.20 conceded
Away splitD-L-W2.67 scored / 1.00 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 3.70. The V4 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -1.31% based on n=19 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Hungary NB I (hu). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick2
Odd3.70
V2 BandNONEROI -1.31% · n=19
V4 BandNONEROI -1.31% · n=19
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

Despite entering the match at a generous price, Kispest Honved has produced enough positive indicators to justify attention. Confidence remains limited, so this should be read as a cautious lean rather than a strong prediction. Kispest Honved is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.
3D: 16.7% 7D: 12.9% 15D: 8.9% 30D: 10.7%
Model insight

Paksi – Kispest Honved Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 3.70. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show NONE confidence, with historical expected ROI values of -1.31% and -1.31%. Historical performance for this profile has been negative or unstable, so this signal should be treated with additional caution. The available sample size is still relatively limited, which may increase performance variability. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample9
Win Rate22.2%
Profit-1.51u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
LOSSIndependiente Santa Fe - Once Caldas3.61-0.79%
WINDelfin SC - Leones FC3.71-0.79%
LOSSReal Sociedad - Racing Santander3.50-1.31%
LOSSSacramento Republic - Rhode Island FC3.50-1.31%
LOSSArmenia - Kazakhstan3.70-1.31%
LOSSHerediano - Cartagines3.48-1.78%
WINBraga B - AD Sanjoanense3.78-1.79%
LOSSBrusque - Caxias RS3.75-1.79%
Pick
2 @ 3.70
Kickoff
Ago 09, 2026 5:30 PM
Confidence
CONF: NONE
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI -1.31% • n=19
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
-1.31% • n=19
Start
Starts in 4h 1m
Updated
Updated 10m ago
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