Model: TipTromba2H

FK Radnik Surdulica vs FK Macva Sabac

PREDICTION

@ 1.73

StatusUpcoming

KickoffAgo 15, 2026 9:00 PM

ResultPending

StartStarts in 4d 17h

V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -3.82% · n=495

V4 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -3.82% · n=495

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 11m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is FK Radnik Surdulica. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: FK Radnik SurdulicaGoal/Shots Index — H: -0.019 | A: -0.067

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

8/100

Poor value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

FK Radnik SurdulicaHOME

FK Macva SabacAWAY

LDDWW

Recent form

WLLLL

Avg goals scored

1.20

0.60

Defensive weakness

0.80

2.40

Shots on target for

5.00

3.00

SoT conceded pressure

3.60

6.60

Home splitD-W-D-L-W1.40 scored / 1.20 conceded

Away splitL-L-L-L-L0.20 scored / 2.60 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.73. The V4 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -3.82% based on n=495 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Serbia Super Liga (rs). Odds movement is currently classified as Stable with Low volatility.

Pick1

Odd1.73

V2 BandNONEROI -3.82% · n=495

V4 BandNONEROI -3.82% · n=495

Odds TrendStable

VolatilityLow

AI Match Insight

The short price is supported by recent form data, with FK Radnik Surdulica showing a clearer performance edge. Confidence remains limited, so this should be read as a cautious lean rather than a strong prediction. FK Radnik Surdulica has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.

3D: -16.3% 7D: -1.7% 15D: 8.8% 30D: 9.5%

Model insight

FK Radnik Surdulica – FK Macva Sabac Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.73. This prediction is generated by the TipTromba2H model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show NONE confidence, with historical expected ROI values of -3.82% and -3.82%. Historical performance for this profile has been negative or unstable, so this signal should be treated with additional caution. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. Odds history is still limited because this prediction has only recently appeared in the monitored bookmaker panel. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample491

Win Rate63.3%

Profit+8.22u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
LOSS	Penarol Reserves - Cerro Largo Reserves	1.50	-3.38%
WIN	Rosenborg 2 - Ranheim 2	1.50	-3.82%
WIN	FK Zalgiris Vilnius II - FK Kauno Zalgiris II	1.62	-1.89%
LOSS	UKS Staszkowka Jelna (W) - Resovia Rzeszow (W)	1.62	-3.38%
WIN	VJS Vantaa II - Tips Vantaa	1.65	-3.38%
WIN	Santa Ana - AD Carmelita	1.73	-3.38%
WIN	Young Boys II - Lugano II	1.62	-3.82%
WIN	Sigma Olomouc B - Slovacko II	1.53	-1.89%

Active Similar Predictions

Match	Pick	Odd	Exp. ROI	Kickoff
East Fife - Spartans	1	1.60	-3.38%	11 Aug 20:45
Formartine United - Dundee B	1	1.67	-3.82%	11 Aug 20:45

Pick

1 @ 1.73

Kickoff

Ago 15, 2026 9:00 PM

Confidence

CONF: NONE

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI -3.82% • n=495

Confidence V4

CONF V4: NONE

Exp. ROI V4

-3.82% • n=495

Start

Starts in 4d 17h

Updated

Updated 11m ago