Model: TipTromba2H
Santa Ana vs AD Carmelita
PREDICTION
1
@ 1.73
StatusUpcoming
KickoffAgo 09, 2026 9:00 PM
ResultPending
StartStarts in 20h 42m
V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -3.38% · n=1115
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 19m ago
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Santa Ana. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: Santa AnaGoal/Shots Index — H: -0.042 | A: -0.034Value Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.
9/100
Odds Movement
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds1.73First seen
Current1.73Now
Max odds1.73Highest point
Min odds1.73Lowest point
VolatilityLowStable range
TrendStableShort term
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Santa AnaHOME
VS
AD CarmelitaAWAY
W
Recent form
D
Avg goals scored
1.00
2.00
Defensive weakness
0.00
2.00
Shots on target for
4.00
7.00
SoT conceded pressure
0.00
4.00
Home splitW1.00 scored / 0.00 conceded
Away splitD2.00 scored / 2.00 conceded
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.73. The V2 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -3.38% based on n=1115 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Costa Rica Segunda (cr). Odds movement is currently classified as Stable with Low volatility.
Pick1
Odd1.73
V2 BandNONEROI -3.38% · n=1115
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendStable
VolatilityLow
AI Match Insight
Market expectations and recent results both point toward Santa Ana as the more reliable side. The model does not assign a strong confidence profile here, making the pick more speculative.
Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.
3D: 8.3%
7D: 15.6%
15D: 8.2%
30D: 11.5%
Model insight
Santa Ana – AD Carmelita Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.73. This prediction is generated by the TipTromba2H model profile. The V2 confidence band is NONE, with a historical expected ROI of -3.38% across 1115 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample479
Win Rate63.0%
Profit+6.01u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | Guanabara City U20 - Sao Luiz U20 | 1.67 | -1.89% |
| WIN | Sporting Hasselt - Belisia Bilzen SV | 1.53 | -3.38% |
| WIN | Tenerife B - CD Marino | 1.50 | -1.89% |
| LOSS | Aberystwyth - Treowen Stars | 1.50 | -3.38% |
| LOSS | Odd II - Staal Jørpeland | 1.57 | -3.82% |
| LOSS | Nasaf Qarshi - FK Kokand 1912 | 1.50 | -3.38% |
| LOSS | Gornik Zabrze U19 - Stal Rzeszow U19 | 1.50 | -3.38% |
| LOSS | Wieczysta Krakow II - AKS 1947 Busko-Zdroj | 1.50 | -3.82% |
Active Similar Predictions
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sao Jose SP - Santo Andre SP | 1 | 1.50 | -3.38% | 09 Aug 00:00 |
| Phoenix Rising FC - Loudoun United FC | 1 | 1.62 | -3.38% | 09 Aug 01:00 |
| Sigma Olomouc B - Slovacko II | 1 | 1.53 | -1.89% | 09 Aug 10:15 |
| Young Boys II - Lugano II | 1 | 1.62 | -3.82% | 09 Aug 14:00 |
| Breidablik - Valur Reykjavik | 1 | 1.57 | -3.38% | 09 Aug 21:15 |
| Botev Plovdiv - Spartak Varna | 1 | 1.53 | -3.82% | 10 Aug 20:15 |
| Paysandu - AD Confianca | 1 | 1.53 | -3.38% | 11 Aug 01:00 |
Pick
1 @ 1.73
Kickoff
Ago 09, 2026 9:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: NONE
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI -3.38% • n=1115
Start
Starts in 20h 42m
Updated
Updated 19m ago