Model: TipTromba4H

FK Brandys nad Labem vs Varnsdorf

PREDICTION

@ 3.90

StatusUpcoming

KickoffAgo 12, 2026 7:00 PM

ResultPending

StartStarts in 1d 4h

V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.09% · n=255

V4 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.09% · n=255

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 7m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is FK Brandys nad Labem. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: FK Brandys nad LabemGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: 0.118

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

56/100

Good value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds4.02First seen

Current4.29Now

Max odds4.29Highest point

Min odds4.02Lowest point

VolatilityMediumStable range

TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

FK Brandys nad LabemHOME

VarnsdorfAWAY

LWWDL

Recent form

WWLWL

Avg goals scored

2.60

2.80

Defensive weakness

1.80

2.00

Shots on target for

5.25

6.00

SoT conceded pressure

2.75

4.60

Home splitD-L-W-D-D1.40 scored / 1.60 conceded

Away splitW-L-W-D-W3.00 scored / 1.40 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 3.90. The V4 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 4.09% based on n=255 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Czechia Cup (cz). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Medium volatility.

Pick1

Odd3.90

V2 BandMEDIUMROI 4.09% · n=255

V4 BandMEDIUMROI 4.09% · n=255

Odds TrendRising

VolatilityMedium

AI Match Insight

The elevated odds reflect a naturally higher-risk profile, especially because recent form does not clearly favor FK Brandys nad Labem. The model gives this selection a reasonable profile, although the confidence level remains measured.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.

3D: -36.1% 7D: -0.8% 15D: 8.8% 30D: 9.2%

Model insight

FK Brandys nad Labem – Varnsdorf Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 3.90. This prediction is generated by the TipTromba4H model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show MEDIUM confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 4.09% and 4.09%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. Moderate odds volatility indicates some market disagreement during the pre-match phase. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample76

Win Rate30.3%

Profit+11.15u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
LOSS	Enskede IK (W) - Linköpings FC (W)	3.90	4.84%
WIN	Champions FC Academy - Sporting San Miguelito Reserves	3.80	4.84%
LOSS	Ammanford AFC - Colwyn Bay	3.90	4.09%
LOSS	Rotherham - Derby	3.90	4.84%
LOSS	Zalaszentgroti VFC - SC Sopron	3.80	4.84%
LOSS	Fuerte San Francisco - Internacional Santa Tecla	3.75	4.09%
LOSS	Newport County - Reading	3.75	4.84%
WIN	Enfield Town - AFC Hornchurch	3.80	4.09%

Pick

1 @ 3.90

Kickoff

Ago 12, 2026 7:00 PM

Confidence

CONF: MEDIUM

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 4.09% • n=255

Confidence V4

CONF V4: MEDIUM

Exp. ROI V4

4.09% • n=255

Start

Starts in 1d 4h

Updated

Updated 7m ago