Model: TipTromba5H

CSM Targu Jiu vs CSM Ramnicu Valcea

PREDICTION

@ 4.50

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffAgo 12, 2026 9:00 PM

ResultPending

StartStarted 40m ago

V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.52% · n=105

V4 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.52% · n=105

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 8h 34m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is CSM Targu Jiu. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: CSM Targu JiuGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: 0.059

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

50/100

Good value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds6.50First seen

Current4.95Now

Max odds7.00Highest point

Min odds4.90Lowest point

VolatilityHighStable range

TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

CSM Targu JiuHOME

CSM Ramnicu ValceaAWAY

LWDWW

Recent form

WDDWW

Avg goals scored

2.00

1.80

Defensive weakness

1.40

0.80

Shots on target for

3.50

4.20

SoT conceded pressure

3.50

4.00

Home splitL-D-W2.00 scored / 2.00 conceded

Away splitW-D-W-W-W1.80 scored / 0.60 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 4.50. The V4 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.52% based on n=105 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Romania Cup (ro). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with High volatility.

Pick1

Odd4.50

V2 BandLOWROI 1.52% · n=105

V4 BandLOWROI 1.52% · n=105

Odds TrendDropping

VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

From a statistical perspective, the difference between the two teams may be smaller than the current price indicates. The model does not assign a strong confidence profile here, making the pick more speculative.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.

3D: -15.1% 7D: 10.3% 15D: 11.4% 30D: 11.0%

Model insight

CSM Targu Jiu – CSM Ramnicu Valcea Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 4.50. This prediction is generated by the TipTromba5H model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show LOW confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 1.52% and 1.52%. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The prediction received strong market support after the first appearance. Early prices historically produced the best long-term performance for this model profile. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample12

Win Rate41.7%

Profit+10.50u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
LOSS	FC Kontu - MPS/Atletico Malmi	4.50	1.52%
LOSS	CSA Axiopolis - FC Agricola Borcea	4.50	1.52%
LOSS	Sambenedettese - Avellino	4.50	1.52%
WIN	Brisbane Knights - Grange Thistle	4.50	1.52%
LOSS	Vilavelhense - Vitoria ES	4.50	1.52%
WIN	SC Grobinas - FK Liepaja	4.50	1.52%
LOSS	Barcelona SP U23 - Manthiqueira U23	4.50	1.52%
WIN	HB Torshavn II - FC Suduroy	4.50	1.52%

Pick

1 @ 4.50

Kickoff

Ago 12, 2026 9:00 PM

Confidence

CONF: LOW

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 1.52% • n=105

Confidence V4

CONF V4: LOW

Exp. ROI V4

1.52% • n=105

Start

Started 40m ago

Updated

Updated 8h 34m ago