Vilavelhense – Vitoria ES

Model: TipTromba5H

Vilavelhense vs Vitoria ES

PREDICTION
1
@ 4.50
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffGiu 18, 2026 1:45 AM
ResultLOSS2 - 2
StartStarted 45d 18h ago
V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.52% · n=105
V4 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.52% · n=105
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 46d 22h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Vilavelhense. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: VilavelhenseGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —

Shots Rating

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

50/100
Good value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

VilavelhenseHOME
VS
Vitoria ESAWAY
DWWDL
Recent form
DDLLD
Avg goals scored
1.40
0.60
Defensive weakness
1.00
1.00
Shots on target for
5.00
3.80
SoT conceded pressure
4.00
3.80
Home splitD-W-W-L-W1.60 scored / 1.00 conceded
Away splitD-D-L-W-D0.80 scored / 0.60 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 4.50. The V4 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.52% based on n=105 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Brazil Copa Espirito Santo (br). Odds movement is currently classified as Stable with Low volatility.

Pick1
Odd4.50
V2 BandLOWROI 1.52% · n=105
V4 BandLOWROI 1.52% · n=105
Odds TrendStable
VolatilityLow

AI Match Insight

The market offers a relatively high price, but recent statistical trends still provide meaningful support for Vilavelhense. Confidence remains limited, so this should be read as a cautious lean rather than a strong prediction. Vilavelhense has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.

Current Combo momentum is weak. Recent short-term performance has been below expectations, suggesting that current match conditions may be less favorable for the model.
3D: 15.9% 7D: -6.6% 15D: -1.7% 30D: 9.3%
Model insight

Vilavelhense – Vitoria ES Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 4.50. This prediction is generated by the TipTromba5H model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show LOW confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 1.52% and 1.52%. Odds history is still limited because this prediction has only recently appeared in the monitored bookmaker panel. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample10
Win Rate50.0%
Profit+12.50u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
LOSSSambenedettese - Avellino4.501.52%
WINBrisbane Knights - Grange Thistle4.501.52%
WINSC Grobinas - FK Liepaja4.501.52%
LOSSBarcelona SP U23 - Manthiqueira U234.501.52%
WINHB Torshavn II - FC Suduroy4.501.52%
WINCambodia - Hong Kong4.501.52%
WINDeportivo Liniers - Villa Dalmine4.501.52%
LOSSSwidniczanka Swidnik - Sokol Kolbuszowa Dolna4.501.52%
Pick
1 @ 4.50
Kickoff
Giu 18, 2026 1:45 AM
Confidence
CONF: LOW
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 1.52% • n=105
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
1.52% • n=105
Start
Started 45d 18h ago
Updated
Updated 46d 22h ago
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