Progresul Mogosoaia – CS Concordia Chiajna

Model: TipTromba4H

Progresul Mogosoaia vs CS Concordia Chiajna

PREDICTION
1
@ 3.70
StatusUpcoming
KickoffAgo 12, 2026 6:30 PM
ResultPending
StartStarts in 19h 24m
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 3.99% · n=331
V4 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 3.99% · n=331
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 5m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Progresul Mogosoaia. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Progresul MogosoaiaGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.056 | A: 0.113

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

54/100
Good value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds3.90First seen
Current3.87Now
Max odds3.90Highest point
Min odds3.60Lowest point
VolatilityMediumStable range
TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Progresul MogosoaiaHOME
VS
CS Concordia ChiajnaAWAY
WWWWW
Recent form
WWDDL
Avg goals scored
2.80
1.80
Defensive weakness
0.60
1.20
Shots on target for
5.60
4.80
SoT conceded pressure
3.40
4.20
Home splitW-W-W-W-W2.60 scored / 0.40 conceded
Away splitW-D-L-W-W1.80 scored / 1.00 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 3.70. The V4 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 3.99% based on n=331 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Romania Cup (ro). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with Medium volatility.

Pick1
Odd3.70
V2 BandMEDIUMROI 3.99% · n=331
V4 BandMEDIUMROI 3.99% · n=331
Odds TrendDropping
VolatilityMedium

AI Match Insight

The market offers a relatively high price, but recent statistical trends still provide meaningful support for Progresul Mogosoaia. The confidence profile is moderate, so the pick has statistical support but should not be treated as a low-risk prediction.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.
3D: -21.0% 7D: 13.4% 15D: 11.7% 30D: 11.1%
Model insight

Progresul Mogosoaia – CS Concordia Chiajna Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 3.70. This prediction is generated by the TipTromba4H model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show MEDIUM confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 3.99% and 3.99%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Moderate odds volatility indicates some market disagreement during the pre-match phase. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample122
Win Rate29.5%
Profit+11.35u
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WINChampions FC Academy - Sporting San Miguelito Reserves3.804.84%
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Pick
1 @ 3.70
Kickoff
Ago 12, 2026 6:30 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 3.99% • n=331
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
3.99% • n=331
Start
Starts in 19h 24m
Updated
Updated 5m ago
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