HooGee – LePa

Model: TipTromba4H

HooGee vs LePa

PREDICTION
1
@ 3.50
StatusUpcoming
KickoffAgo 13, 2026 9:15 PM
ResultPending
StartStarts in 1d 22h
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 3.99% · n=331
V4 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 3.99% · n=331
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 6h 25m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is HooGee. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: HooGeeGoal/Shots Index — H: -0.108 | A: 0.227

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Balanced

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

53/100
Good value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds4.89First seen
Current3.50Now
Max odds4.89Highest point
Min odds3.50Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

HooGeeHOME
VS
LePaAWAY
LLLLL
Recent form
WWWLL
Avg goals scored
2.20
2.20
Defensive weakness
3.80
1.40
Shots on target for
6.80
6.20
SoT conceded pressure
6.60
5.40
Home splitL-L-W-D-W1.80 scored / 1.80 conceded
Away splitW-L-L-W-W1.80 scored / 1.60 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 3.50. The V4 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 3.99% based on n=331 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Finland Kolmonen (fi). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with High volatility.

Pick1
Odd3.50
V2 BandMEDIUMROI 3.99% · n=331
V4 BandMEDIUMROI 3.99% · n=331
Odds TrendDropping
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The current odds underline the speculative nature of the pick, particularly given the recent form imbalance. This sits in a middle confidence range, suggesting a balanced but not especially dominant setup.

Current Combo momentum is positive. Recent Combo selections remain profitable across multiple recent windows, indicating stable short-term performance.
3D: -54.8% 7D: 5.9% 15D: 7.8% 30D: 9.8%
Model insight

HooGee – LePa Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 3.50. This prediction is generated by the TipTromba4H model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show MEDIUM confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 3.99% and 3.99%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The prediction received strong market support after the first appearance. Early prices historically produced the best long-term performance for this model profile. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample76
Win Rate32.9%
Profit+15.05u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
LOSSPitbulls Santa Barbara - Guadalupe FC3.603.99%
LOSSAl Jazira SC - Al Ittihad Jeddah3.503.99%
LOSSFSC Feniks-Mariupol - SC Poltava3.603.99%
WINHapoel Akko - SC Kiryat Yam3.503.99%
LOSSSao Bento U20 (W) - Audax SP U20 (W)3.503.99%
LOSSPortmore United - Salcedo FC3.603.99%
LOSSVenezuela (W) - Colombia (W)3.604.85%
LOSSGodoy Cruz Reserves - Racing Club Reserves3.603.99%
Active Similar Predictions
MatchPickOddExp. ROIKickoff
Progresul Mogosoaia - CS Concordia Chiajna13.703.99%12 Aug 16:30
Pick
1 @ 3.50
Kickoff
Ago 13, 2026 9:15 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 3.99% • n=331
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
3.99% • n=331
Start
Starts in 1d 22h
Updated
Updated 6h 25m ago
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